UC-Davis at Stanford 2018 NCAA Football Week 3 Betting Preview

UC-Davis at Stanford 2018 NCAA Football Week 3 Betting Preview

Written by on September 13, 2018

Stanford star running back Bryce Love won’t play when the Cardinal hosts UC-Davis this Saturday, Sep. 15. Love has decided to sit this one out so that he can face Oregon in a couple of weeks. Will that effect whether Stanford can cover the college football week 3 spread versus the undefeated UC-Davis Aggies?

UC-Davis at Stanford 2018 NCAA Football Week 3 Odds

When: Saturday, Sep. 15 at 2:00 pm ET Where: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA TV: PAC-12 Net Radio: TuneIn ATS Odds: TBA Over/Under Total Odds: TBA

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 18°C/65°F
  • Humidity: 58%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 11 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 3%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why UC-Davis is a good bet ATS?

Odds makers won’t set the spread for UC-Davis at Stanford until either Friday or Saturday morning. Because UC-Davis isn’t a Big 5 Conference school, or even an FBS school, once odds makers do set the line, it should be Stanford -40 or more. It could be Stanford -46 to -50 depending on what odds makers believe might happen. UC-Davis is better than a +40 or more dog. The Aggies beat San Jose State, which is an FBS school, 44-38 on August 30. On Sep. 8, UC-Davis beat San Diego 54-21. UC-Davis can hang with the Stanford Cardinal.

Why Stanford is a good bet ATS?

Is Stanford a safe bet in NCAA Football Week 3? Stanford’s 2-0 ATS after thumping rival USC 17-3 in their second game this season. The Cardinal offered 4.5 points. They could have offered 13 points and they’d still have covered. UC-Davis is the worst team Stanford’s faced this season. Bryce Love on the bench could affect Stanford’s play-calling, but that might not help the Aggies because, if anything, Cardinal coaches will call more pass plays. This sets up as a massive Stanford rout.

Latest NCAA Football Week 3 Betting Trends for UC-Davis at Stanford

  • UC Davis is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • UC Davis is 1-11 SU in the last 12 games
  • Stanford is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Stanford is 17-5 SU in the last 22 games
  • The total went UNDER in 8 of Stanford’s last 12 games

UC-Davis at Stanford Final Analysis: Aggies Cover Against Cardinal

Often, it’s difficult to handicap a football game without knowing the spread, without trends, and without any real idea of how either team will play. That’s what we’ve got here. But, there is an assumption we can make. The first assumption is that Stanford should offer a -40 or higher spread against UC-Davis. Almost every time a Big 5 Conference school faces a Division II school, that Big 5 Conference school goes off at -40 or more. In most cases, the Big 5 Conference school covers the spread. That won’t be the case in this game, though.  UC-Davis beat an FBS school in Week 1. In their second game, they trounced Division II San Diego. The Aggies won’t beat Stanford SU on Saturday. But, they’ll play the Cardinal tough. UC-Davis is the team to back ATS.

NCAA Football Week 3 Pick: UC-Davis ATS