Top Boxing Lines: Prograis vs Zepeda Odds, and 4 Other Great Bouts

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Two of boxing’s top lightweights clash on Saturday in Carson, California when favored Regis Prograis goes aginast Jose Zepeda. Money has landed on Prograis since the fight announcement, pushing Regis to a -500 chalk. Also on Saturday, John Ryder takes on Zach Parker in London for the WBO Interim Super Middleweight title. Check out Boxing Lines, analysis, and free picks for five of this Saturday’s top boxing matches.  

Prograis Takes On Zepeda For the WBC Super Lightweight Title | Boxing Betting Analysis

Boxing Events

• When: Saturday, Nov. 26

Ricards Bolotniks +427 vs. Craig Richards -833

• London – DAZN

Ricards “The Lion” Bolotniks is 19-6-1 with 8 knockout wins. Bolotniks last fought on April 1, beating then 11-0 Hrvoje Sep via unanimous decision in an 8-round bout. 

Craig “Spider” Richards is 17-3-1. Richards has some power. He’s knocked out 10 of his opponents. Not only that, but Richards has fought some of the best in the light heavyweight division, including losing to Dmitrii Bivol in 2021 via unanimous decision.

4 of Bolotniks 6 losses have come via stoppage. Find a prop or go under because Richards should end the underdog’s night early.   

Boxing Pick: Craig Richards 

Nathan Gorman +190 vs. Fabio Wardley -277

• London – DAZN

19-1 Nathan Gorman wins many of his fights via knockout or technical knockout. 13 of Gorman’s opponents have lost before the final bell. 

But although Gorman has fought well, he could be in some trouble on Saturday. Fabio Wardley has a 14-0 record. Wardley has knocked out 13 of his opponents. 

Then again, Gorman, no doubt, has fought and beaten the higher level of competition. If the odds difference was closer than it is, Fabio might be the play. But at +190, backing the dog makes sense. 

Boxing Pick: Nathan Gorman  

John Ryder +185 vs. Zach Parker -270 | WBO Interim Super Middleweight Title 

• London – ESPN+

Underdog John Ryder boasts a nice 31-5 record with 17 knockout wins. Ryder has suffered a single stoppage loss. 

Since losing to Callum Smith in 2019, Ryder has run off 3 straight wins, including beating well-regarded Daniel Jacobs via split-decision in a February bout. 

Zach Parker enters this match with a fantastic 22-0 record. Parker has 16 knockout wins on the resume. Parker is younger than Ryder by 6 years. Ryder won’t be easy to beat, but Parker’s youth edge and the fact he has equal to, if not more, power than Ryder makes the chalk the play. 

Boxing Pick: Zach Parker  

Evelin Nazarena Bermudez +136 vs Yokasta Valle -192

• Carson, California – PPV

This bout is for the IBF and WBO World Light Flyweight titles. Evelin Bermudez has a 17-0-1 record. Bermudez has won 6 of her bouts via stoppage.

Valle’s record is more impressive at 26-2. The Costa Rican resident has won 9 of her bouts via stoppage. Bermudez will put up a great fight but Valle should be too experienced and skilled to lose. Give the chalk the nod. 

Boxing Pick: Yokasta Valle 

Regis Prograis -454 vs. Jose Zepeda +284 | WBC Super Lightweight Title  

Jose Zepeda is no slouch. The underdog in this has a terrific 35-2 record with 27 knockout wins. 

Zepeda has suffered a single stoppage loss and is on a 5-bout winning streak. During the streak, Jose has beaten some tough pugilists like Jose Pedraza, Henry Lundy, and Josue Vargas in a technical knockout win in his last.

Regis Prograis lost to Josh Taylor in 2019. Since then, he’s won 3 straight via technical knockout. Both boxers have stepped it up against top competition. The difference in regards to this bout is in the odds.

Prograis shouldn’t be such a big favorite. The odds on Zepeda make Jose an overlay. 

Boxing Pick: Jose Zepeda

Undefeated Guido Vianello takes on Jonathan Rice on Saturday night in what should be an excellent bout. Vianello versus Rice is one of Saturday’s headline fights on a day when YouTube boxer Olajide Olatunji also throws down. Check out Boxing Lines, analysis, and free picks for five bouts taking place on Saturday, Jan. 14.

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• When: Saturday, Jan. 14

Thomas Oliveira +644 vs Olajide Olatunji -1666

Olatunji, known as KSI to his fans, was supposed to take on mixed-martial-artist Dillon Danis. KSI last fought in August where he beat two fighters: YouTube rival Swarmz and Luis Pineda. 

On Saturday, Olatunji takes on Thomas Olievera. Known as FaZe Temperrr, there’s some reason to believe the underdog in this gets it done. 

Temperrr has a decent 2-1 record for an amateur. Not only that, but he trains as hard as KSI. Also, Olievera is 4 inches taller, weighs more, and has an inch reach advantage. 

Sure, KSI should win. But the odds discount Olievera’s advantages. Temperrr has a much better shot than the odds imply.    

Boxing Pick: Thomas Oliveira

Edwin Rodriguez +290 vs Floyd Diaz -476

American Floyd Diaz has a nice 8-0 record with 3 knockout victories. Diaz hopes to push the record to 9 when he throws down against veteran Edwin Rodriguez on Saturday.

Rodriguez is 11-6-2 with 5 knockout wins. Edwin last fought in 2021, which puts him at a disadvantage to win this. If Rodriguez is at the top of his game, he will out box his odds. 

But there’s no telling Edwin’s shape. So although Diaz is a slight underlay at his odds, backing Floyd is the way to go.  

Boxing Pick: Floyd Diaz  

Abraham Nova -116 vs Adam Lopez -119

Abraham Nova versus Adam Lopez projects as one of this weekend’s most competitive matches. Nova last fought in June 2022. Abraham lost the bout but it was against well-regarded Robeisy Ramirez. 

Adam Lopez is 16-3-1 with 6 knockout wins. Lopez beat William Encarnacion via unanimous decision in a bout that happened last May.

When odds dropped Lopez was more of a favorite. Late money has rolled onto Nova. But Ramirez exposed a few flaws in Abraham’s game. The slight chalk remains the choice. 

Boxing Pick: Adam Lopez 

Stephen Shaw -166 vs Efe Ajagba +120

Favored Stephan “Big Shot” Shaw is undefeated with an 18-0 record. Shaw has won 13 of his bouts via stoppage.

But although Shaw is undefeated, he’s a 3-year-old veteran up against a 28-year-old boxer with a single loss. Efe Ajagba lost to Frank Sanchez in 2021.

Last year, Ajagba bounced back with a fantastic victory over Jozsef Darmos. Efe beat Darmos via second-round technical knockout. No doubt, Ajagba is one of the toughest fighters Shaw has ever faced. Backing the dog makes sense. 

Boxing Pick: Efe Ajagba 

Jonathan Rice -136 vs Guido Vianello -101

Favored Jonathan Rice is 15-6-1 with 10 knockout victories. Rice has won his last 2 fights. Both bouts were against Michael Polite Coffie.

On Saturday, Rice takes on 10-0-1 Guido Vianello. The slight dog has won 9 of his bouts via stoppage. Vianello, no doubt, has what it takes to win this. 

Rice hasn’t faced power like Vianello’s in a while. Guido is the pick.  

Boxing Pick: Guido Vianello

Artur Beterbiev owns three of boxing’s light heavyweight division belts. Beterbiev would like nothing more than to grab the fourth. But before Artur can face off agianst Dmitry Bivol for the WBC Light Heavyweight Championship, he must get by Anthony Yarde in Yarde’s backyard on Saturday. Check out analysis and a free Boxing Betting pick for Yarde versus Beterbiev as well as four other of Saturday’s top boxing matches. 

Beterbiev Defends His Three Belts Versus Yarde for Saturday’s Top Bout | Boxing Betting Analysis

Boxing Events

• When: Saturday, Jan. 28

Artem Dalakian -147 vs David Jimenez +106 | WBA Flyweight Title

• London, England – 3:00 pm ET on ESPN+

Dalakian versus Jimenez should be a fantastic matchup. Artem is the slight favorite because he’s got a 21-0 record. 

Not only is Dalakian undefeated but he also has 15 stoppage victories. Of those 15 stoppage wins, 13 were via technical knockout and 2 were via straight up knockout. 

Jimenez is 12-0. David has 5 knockout wins, 3 technical knockout victories, and a referee technical decision victory. Jimenez last fought in July 2016. 

Dalakian’s last bout was November 2021. Not only that, but this is Artem’s first fight outside of the Ukraine. Backing Jimenez makes sense. 

Boxing Pick: David Jimenez  

Anthony Yarde +430 vs Artur Beterbiev -833 | WBA, WBO, IBF Lightweight Titles

• London, England – 3:00 pm ET on ESPN+

For sure, Yarde has skill. Anthony uses his feet well, moves in and out of trouble, and can throw with both hands.

But although Yarde is a skilled boxer, he’s in trouble. Artur Beterbiev is 18-0 with 18 knockouts for a reason. Beterbiev doesn’t just have power. He wins angles so that he can throw his most powerful shots.

Yarde also tends to leave his hands under his chin, which is a recipe for disaster. Beterbiev will land an overhand right or left that ends Yarde’s night early.  

Boxing Pick: Artur Beterbiev 

Oscar Collazo vs Yudel Reyes

• Inglewood, CA – DAZN

Collazo was supposed to face Wilfredo Mendez. But Mendez suffered an injury a couple of weeks back, which is why when Oscar steps into the ring on Saturday, he’ll take on Yudel Reyes. 

The underdog in this bout has an excellent 15-1 record. The knock against Reyes is that this is his first bout stateside. But if you can look past that issue, he’s good enough to challenge Collazo.

Oscar is 5-0 with 3 technical knockout wins. No doubt, he’s going to attract a ton of action. For sure, the likely favorite can win this. Backing Reyes, though, makes sense. 

Boxing Pick: Oscar Collazo 

Floyd Schofield -2500 vs Alberto Mercado +752

• Inglewood, CA – DAZN

Alberto Mercado has a decent 17-4-1 record. However, Mercado has only stopped 4 of his opponents. That’s a huge red flag for those looking to back the underdog.

Floyd Schofield is one of the sports up and comers. 10 of Schofield’s 12 victories have come via stoppage. Floyd has knocked out 6 of his opponents, has won 3 via TKO, and has a referee technical decision victory on the record. Schofield ends Mercado’s night early. So, look for a knockout prop. 

Boxing Pick: Floyd Schofield  

Alexis Rocha vs Georgie Ashie 

• Inglewood, CA – DAZN

Rocha was supposed to fight Anthony Young, but Golden Boy Promotions, Oscar De La Hoya’s boxing outfit, replaced Young with George Ashie. Once oddsmakers change the line, Alexis Rocha might be more than a -5000 favorite. 

Does Ashie have any chance of upsetting Rocha? Ashie is 33-5-1 and has yet to fight outside of his native Ghana. 

Ghana has terrific gyms. But Rocha is a legit welterweight title contender. So, no, Ashie doesn’t have much chance. Look for a knockout prop before accepting what’s likely to be -5000 or worse odds. 

Boxing Pick: Alexis Rocha 

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