Can Wake Forest Beat Notre Dame in NCAAF Odds for Week 10?

Can Wake Forest Beat Notre Dame in NCAAF Odds for Week 10?

Written by on November 1, 2017

It’s pretty simple for No. 5 Notre Dame: win out and the Irish will surely be in the College Football Playoff for the first time. However, it’s possible they could be looking past Wake Forest on Saturday toward two ranked opponents left on the schedule. Notre Dame is a -13.5 point favorite in the NCAAF odds for this matchup.

Wake Forest at Notre Dame Week 10 NCAAF Odds & Betting Pick

When: Saturday, 3:30 PM ET Where: Notre Dame Stadium TV: NBC Stream: NBC Sports Radio: WBRF 98.1 FM (Wake Forest) / 93.1 FM (Notre Dame) Opening NCAAF Odds: Irish -13.5

Weather Forecast

  • Rain: 9°C/48°F
  • Humidity: 72%
  • Precipitation: 53%
  • Wind: 14 mph E
  • Cloud Cover: 98%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Last Meeting

These teams met in 2015 in South Bend when the Irish were No. 4 and Notre Dame won 28-7. It was a weird game. The Demon Deacons had 23 first downs to 15 for the Irish, 340 yards to 282 yards in total offense and had the ball for 11:36 longer than Notre Dame. The Irish won anyway, getting a 98-yard touchdown run from Josh Adams, scoring twice on two trips into the red zone and adding another TD on a 28-yard interception return by Andrew Trumbetti. The Demon Deacons were 1-of-4 in the red zone.

College Football Week 10 Odds & Top Picks to Parlay

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 2
  • First Meeting: November 5th, 2011. Winston-Salem, North Carolina
  • Last Meeting: November 14th, 2015. South Bend, Indiana
  • All-Time Series: Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2-0-0
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Notre Dame 28-7 (2015)
  • Longest Win Streak: Notre Dame 2 (2011-2015)
  • Current Win Streak: Notre Dame 2 (2011-2015)

Why Bet On Wake Forest’s NCAAF Odds?

The Deacons (5-3) could get bowl eligible with a win here. They come off a 42-32 upset of Louisville. Greg Dortch caught a school-record four touchdown passes and John Wolford threw for five touchdowns and 461 yards. Wake Forest led Louisville with a combined attack of Dortch and Wolford who were nearly unstoppable. Dortch had three of his touchdown catches in the first half while piling up 167 yards receiving. Wolford went 28-for-34 passing becoming the first Demon Deacon quarterback to pass for over 400 yards since 1998. His five touchdown passes tied Riley Skinner who set the program record in 2009. The 625 total yards from Wake Forest was the most since 1968 and only the second time the Deacons have gone over 600 yards. The Demon Deacon defense hounded reigning Heisman winner Lamar Jackson throughout the game. Wake Forest recorded seven sacks which is tied for the second-most in a game in school history and the most since 1997. However, Dortch’s season is now over. He ranks second in the ACC with 722 receiving yards this season and also has excelled in the return game, where he’s worked as both a punt and a kick returner. Overall, he’s racked up 1,290 all-purpose yards this season, the fifth-most in FBS. With Dortch out, Wake Forest will turn to junior Tabari Hines to fill a similar role. Hines has 18 catches for 250 yards and 1 touchdown this season. Wake has one of the better defensive players in the ACC in end Duke Ejiofor, who has been named as one of 18 semifinalists for the Chuck Bednarik Award given annually to the nation’s most outstanding defensive player. Ejifor ranks second in the ACC with 6.5 sacks in 2017 and is second in the league with 14 tackles for loss. Nationally, he is fifth in the nation in tackles for loss and 16th in sacks. Ejifor has helped the Demon Deacon defense rank first in the nation in tackles for loss with 9.3 per game. Wake Forest won’t have running back Cade Carney and safety Jessie Bates for this week’s game. Coach Dave Clawson said Tuesday that the two players won’t play Saturday but their injuries are not season-ending, do not require surgery and “hopefully we’ll have them in a couple weeks.” Offense:
  • Average Score For: 31.25
  • Total Yards: 427.25
  • Pass Yards: 256.25
  • Rush Yards: 171
Defense:
  • Average Score Against:21.25
  • Total Yards: 381.87
  • Pass Yards: 198.12
  • Rush Yards: 183.75

Why Bet On Notre Dame’s NCAAF Odds?

The Irish (7-1) handled NC State 35-14 last week and they have now have knocked off top-15 opponents in back-to-back weeks by 20+ points for the first time since 1944. The Notre Dame rushing attack totaled 318 yards against the nation’s sixth-ranked rushing defense. Josh Adams had 202 yards and a TD. Quarterback Brandon Wimbush went 10-for-19 for 104 yards passing, while tight end Durham Smythe led the squad with 52 yards receiving and a touchdown. Adams leads the nation with seven runs of at least 60 yards this season. In addition, he has a run of at least 70 yards in each of the last four games. He also leads the nation with 5.6 yards per carry after contact. He has totaled 736 yards after contact this season, a mark which on its own would rank 31st in the country in rushing yards.  Adams was one of just 10 players in the country to reach 1,000 yards before the end of October and Adams has fewer rushes than any of the 10 with 132. Is Notre Dame a safe bet in the NCAAF odds? As a matter of fact, Notre Dame has not committed a turnover in four games this season. The Irish rank 15th nationally with just seven turnovers on the year and 11th nationally in turnovers gained with 18, good for a turnover margin which ranks seventh in FBS. Notre Dame has outscored opponents 101-10 off turnovers this season. Notre Dame’s scoring defense ranks 10th in the nation, allowing 16.1 points per game. The Irish have held every opponent this season to 20 points or fewer, with four of those past opponents currently ranked among the AP Top 25. Notre Dame is the only team in FBS to have held every opponent to 20 points or fewer. On Saturday, Notre Dame limited a NC State team averaging 35.4 points and 467.4 yards per game to a single offensive touchdown. The last four drives by the Wolfpack combined to produce 16 yards — and the visitors managed only four second-half first downs. Offense:
  • Average Score For: 40.50
  • Total Yards: 469.26
  • Pass Yards: 150.38
  • Rush Yards: 318.88
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 16.12
  • Total Yards: 349.12
  • Pass Yards: 232.50
  • Rush Yards: 116.62

Latest NCAAF Betting Trends

  • Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Wake Forest is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went OVER in 15 of Wake Forest’s last 23 games
  • Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Notre Dame’s last 6 games at home

Expert Prediction & Pick for Week 10

In conclusion, if the NCAAF odds were above 14, I’d take Wake in a potential Notre Dame trap game. But go Irish at less than two touchdowns.