2021 Golden Globe Awards Motion Picture Expert Analysis

2021 Golden Globe Awards Motion Picture Expert Analysis

Written by on February 24, 2021

The first awards ceremony of 2021 is here. On Sunday, Feb. 28, The Golden Globes hand out their orbed statues. We’ve got some serious contenders in the Motion Picture categories. Let’s get to the Golden Globe Awards odds and picks!

Entertainment Betting News: 2021 Golden Globe Motion Picture Picks

2021 Golden Globes

  • When: Sunday, Feb. 28 at 8:00 pm ET

Best Foreign Language Film

  • Minari -110
  • Another Round +150
  • The Life Ahead +400
  • La Llorona +550
  • Two of Us +800

Minari is a lock. The main reason the Globes didn’t send Minari a Best Picture nomination is so they could give it the Globe for Best Foreign Language Film. The movie, about South Korean immigrants living in the American South in the 1980’s, has garnered some of the best reviews of the year. If the -110 odds hold, it’s an overlay.

Golden Globe Pick: Minari  

Best Director Motion Picture

  • Chloe Zhao (Nomadland) -500
  • David Fincher (Mank) +550
  • Aaron Sorkin (The Trial of the Chicago 7) +500
  • Regina King (One Night in Miami) +1000
  • Emerald Fennel (Promising Young Woman) +1200

It’s impossible not to give the award to Chloe Zhao. She’s a Chinese film director, screenwriter, and producer who makes amazing movies about Americans. Her stories cross cultural and racial lines because she makes movies about people without labels. They’re just people. Nomadland is her best film yet. 

Golden Globe Pick: Chloe Zhao 

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical / Comedy

  • Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Movie Film) -120
  • Michelle Pfeiffer (French Exit) +200
  • Anya Taylor Joy (Emma) +450
  • Rosamund Pike (I Care A Lot) +600
  • Kate Hudson (Music) +800

If Maria Bakalova wins, it wouldn’t surprise us. But Michelle Pfeiffer gives a fantastic performance as a socialite about to blow all of her money who calls up her son and moves in with him in his French apartment that he shares with his cat. Who doesn’t want to bet on French Exit after reading that?

Golden Globe Pick: French Exit  

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical / Comedy

  • Sacha Baron Cohen (Borat Subsequent Movie Film) -200
  • Lin-Manuel Miranda (Hamilton) +300
  • Dev Patel (The Personal History of David Copperfield) +600
  • Andy Samberg (Palm Springs) +700
  • James Corden (The Prom) +700

Borat could win for sure. But Sacha’s comedy doesn’t play well to everyone. Hamilton is a rehash of the much better stage production. Heck, it’s a filmed version of the stage production. We still don’t understand what the fuss is about. Andy Samberg was great in Palm Springs. He’s a comedic genius that deserves to finally get a nod. 

Golden Globe Pick: Andy Samberg  

Best Motion Picture – Musical / Comedy

  • Hamilton +125
  • Borat Subsequent Movie Film +150
  • The Prom +200
  • Palm Springs +1000
  • Music +1500

We’re taking a shot on Palm Springs. Yes, Hamilton has the pedigree, Borat is Borat, and The Prom had all of those stars. But Palm Springs is a hilarious, small movie, and often those are the best comedies.

Golden Globe Pick: Palm Springs

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

  • Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) -400
  • Anthony Hopkins (The Father) +550
  • Gary Oldman (Mank) +700
  • Riz Ahmed (Sound of Metal) +800
  • Tahar Rahim (The Mauritanian) +1200

Hopkins and Oldman have won their fair share. Riz Ahmed is great and Sound of Metal is an underrated movie. Chadwick Boseman provides the best performance of any actor this year, though.

Golden Globe Pick: Chadwick Boseman  

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

  • Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) -200
  • Frances McDormand (Nomadland) +300
  • Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) +400
  • Vaness Kirby (Pieces of a Woman) +850
  • Andra Day (The United States vs. Billie Holiday) +1000 

This is a tough call. Viola Davis is unreal as Ma Rainey. Frances McDormand provides one of the most heartfelt performances, maybe, ever as a homeless nomad moving around the U.S. Nomadland had such an impact that it’s really difficult to look past McDormand. But Viola Davis is the best thespian on the planet, and she provides one of her best performances ever. So we’re going with Viola.

Golden Globe Pick: Viola Davis

Best Motion Picture – Drama

  • Nomadland -200
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7 +200
  • Mank +600
  • Promising Young Woman +1500
  • The Father +2000

Nomadland takes this for sure. If -200 holds, we’re getting overlay odds. The Father, Promising Young Woman, Mank, and The Trial of the Chicago 7 are all great movies. Nomadland talks about what’s happening today, as we speak, to many Americans.

Chloe Zhao’s movie isn’t about culture, race, or ethnicity. It’s about the income gap in the U.S. The one thing that could take down the United States. The only thing, probably. That’s how important of a film Nomadland is. 

Golden Globe Pick: Nomadland