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Kansas State vs Oklahoma NCAA Football Week 9 Spread & Pick

Kansas State vs Oklahoma NCAA Football Week 9 Spread & Pick

Written by on October 24, 2018

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After bouncing back from their first loss of the season last weekend, Jyler Murray and the eighth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners will look to extend their winning ways when they host the Kansas State Wildcats in their Week 9 Big 12 battle on Saturday. With K-State looking to record its second straight big upset, let’s find out which team is the right pick to cover the big, three touchdown-plus point spread.

Kansas State vs Oklahoma NCAA Football Week 9 Spread & Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 22°C/72°F
  • Humidity: 41%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 10 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 0%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On The Kansas State Wildcats?

Why should you bet on K-State to cash in against Oklahoma? Well, the best reason is that the Wildcats picked up a huge win over Oklahoma State last weekend to cash in as an 8-point home underdog. Then, there’s the fact that K-State has topped the 30-point plateau in two straight games after scoring 14 or less in their previous two. Last but not least, there’s the fact that K-State nearly pulled off the upset a year ago before falling 42-35 at home, not to mention the fact that the cats have covered the chalk in two of the last four meetings overall, while winning one of those games outright in 2014.

Kansas State snapped a three-game losing streak by stunning Oklahoma State 31-12 as running back Alex Barnes dominated by rushing for 181 yards on 34 carries – and four second half touchdowns.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 23.29
  • Total Yards: 356.28
  • Pass Yards: 164.71
  • Rush Yards: 191.57
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 25
  • Total Yards: 406
  • Pass Yards: 233.14
  • Rush Yards: 173

Why Bet On The Oklahoma Sooners?

Why should you bet on eighth-ranked Oklahoma to cover the big spread against K-State? Well damn, there are several good reasons, starting with the fact that the Sooners average a phenomenal 48.6 points per game to rank third in the nation. Then, there’s the fact that Oklahoma also gives up fewer points per game (25.0 ppg) than Kansas State (27.3 ppg) does defensively.

In addition to the fact that Oklahoma averages almost four touchdowns per game more than K-State, the Sooners have also won three straight in thus rivalry and eight of the last 10 meetings overall. Last but not least, there’s the fact that Oklahoma is trying to hold on to their national championship hopes and would like to avoid a second loss at all costs in order to do so.

Oh yeah, Oklahoma smacked TCU senseless in their 52-17 blowout win last weekend to cash in as a 7.5-point road favorite as quarterback Kyler Murray passed for 213 yards and four touchdowns in the win and running back Kennedy Brooks rushed for a team-high 168 yards and one score on 18 carries.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 48.57
  • Total Yards: 526.28
  • Pass Yards: 301.14
  • Rush Yards: 225.14
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 27.29
  • Total Yards: 400.29
  • Pass Yards: 249.86
  • Rush Yards: 150.43

Kansas State vs Oklahoma NCAA Football Week 9 Betting Trends

 
  • Kansas State is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Kansas State is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 6 games
  • Oklahoma is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Oklahoma is 22-3 SU in the last 25 games
  • The total went OVER in 7 of Oklahoma’s last 8 games
 

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Kansas State vs Oklahoma

While I have no doubt that Oklahoma is going to avoid the outright loss in this contest, I also don’t like them to cover the big, 24.5-point spread in this one. Oklahoma got upset at home by Texas two weeks ago and they narrowly escaped in their 28-21 overtime win against Army in Week 4. Kansas State looked great last weekend and I think they’ll at least duplicate that type of effort, even if the result isn’t a win like it was last weekend.

With the road team in this Big 12 rivalry going 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings and Kansas State Wildcats going 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road dates against Oklahoma, I say play the Wildcats to narrowly cover the big number.

NCAA Football Week 9 Pick: Oklahoma 38 Kansas State 24
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