Big 12 Conference Tournament runner up Texas Tech begins their Final Four quest on Friday in a matchup versus the run and gun Montana State Bobcats. The Red Raiders believe they’ve got the defense to contain the Bobcats’ top shooters. Will Montana State prove the doubters wrong or will Texas Tech make quick work of their 14-seed opponent? Keep reading for March Madness Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Montana State versus Texas Tech.
Men’s College Basketball West Region: #14 Montana State vs #3 Texas Tech
Montana State Bobcats versus Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Info
- When: Friday, March 18 at 1:45 pm ET
- Where: Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
- TV/Streaming: TNT
- Spread Odds: Texas Tech -15
Why bet on 14-Montana State versus 3-Texas Tech?
Montana State’s offense is one of the best in the nation. The Bobcats shoot at a high-percentage both from the field and from behind the three-point line. Montana State averages 47.1% from the field and 36.5% from three. The 76.7 points per game ranks in the top fifty in the country. Tech is going to have a tough time stopping superfast 5’ 8” guard Xavier Bishop.
Montana State Bobcats Offensive Averages
- Points/G: 76.7
- FG %: 47.1
- 3PT %: 36.5
- FT %: 75.0
- Rebounds/G: 32.7
Montana State Bobcats Defensive Averages
- Points/G: 68.9
- FG %: 42.6
- 3PT %: 32.7
- FT %: 74.9
- Rebounds/G: 28.1
Why bet on 3-Texas Tech versus 14-Montana State?
Most believed the Red Raiders would take a backseat to Baylor and Kansas this season. But Texas Tech picked it up enough to finish 23-8. Then during the Big 12 Tournament, the Red Raiders really got going, beating Iowa State and Oklahoma on their way to a championship showdown versus Kansas. Although the Red Raiders couldn’t get by the Jayhawks, they did show that they can contain a top shooting team, holding Kansas to 43% from the field and 23% from three.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Offensive Averages
- Points/G: 72.4
- FG %: 47.0
- 3PT %: 31.4
- FT %: 70.5
- Rebounds/G: 33.7
Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Averages
- Points/G: 60.7
- FG %: 38.5
- 3PT %: 32.7
- FT %: 67.9
- Rebounds/G: 26.8
3-Texas Tech vs 14-Montana State Betting Trends
- Bobcats are 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games
- Montana State is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog
- Over is 8-2-1 in the Bobcats’ last 11 games
- Red Raiders are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss
- Texas Tech is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
- Under is 4-1 ATS in the Red Raiders last 5 neutral site games
3-Texas Tech vs 14-Montana State Florida Betting Analysis
Former head coach Chris Beard wanted current Red Raiders coach Mark Adams to go with him to Austin. But Adams decided to stay in Lubbock.
It turned out to be a smart move. Adams has Texas Tech on the verge of a deep NCAA run. The Red Raiders beat the Volunteers in Tennessee, Kansas at home, lost to the Jayhawks in overtime on the road, and beat the Bears in Baylor on their way to a stunning 20-11 against the spread record.
Texas Tech is easily one of the best teams in the nation. The only thing standing in the Red Raiders’ way from making it to the Final Four is 1-seed Gonzaga, a team that blasted Tech 69-55 last December.
When it comes to this game, Montana State doesn’t have much chance of keeping it close. The Bobcats’ best player is 5’ 8” Xavier Bishop. Tech can play man-to-man or zone defense. They’re also terrific at slowing a game down. So the faster the Bobcats play, the worse it could be for them. Red Raiders cover the -15.
NCAAM Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders Money Line