MAR 13 - Optimal Handicapping Strategy For High Scoring Basketball Teams

Optimal Handicapping Strategy For High Scoring Basketball Teams

Written by on March 13, 2017

If you’re gearing up for the quickly approaching 2017 March Madness national championship tournament and you want to know what the best strategy for handicapping high-scoring basketball teams that will be in this year’s field, then you’ve come to the right place.

Thanks to the bettor-friendly management and this expert college basketball betting breakdown, you’re going to get all of the expert insight you’ll need in order to maximize your chances of cashing in on every high-scoring team in the 2017 national championship tournament. Now, let’s get started.

Optimal Handicapping Strategy For High Scoring Basketball Teams

True Shooters

While the vast majority of basketball bettors worldwide like to look at a team’s field goal shooting percentage, the real shooting statistic you should be looking at is true shooting percentage. True shooting percentage undeniably does a better job of evaluating a player or team’s offensive efficiency than looking simply at field goal percentage. Instead of factoring just two-point field-goals, true shooting percentage factors in free throw percentage and three-point field goal percentage as well. As a basketball betting enthusiast, you need to know that a player’s free throw shooting percentage can factor in heavily on both, a teams’ ability to put points on the board and that team’s ability to win games. If a player is getting the line more often, that equals more opportunities for scoring and, therefore, more points. Conversely, if a player is getting to three free throw line often but isn’t a great shooter from the foul line, that could be detrimental. Remember, true shooting percentage is one of the best indicators of true offensive performance for both an individual player and entire team.

No Passing Fancy

Does the high-scoring team you plan on betting on or against take caution with the ball like a brand new baby s legendary temple U. head coach John Chaney once preached or do they frequently and inexplicably throw the ball away like an errant Jay Cutler pass? It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to know that teams or players that who turn the ball over often won’t score as many points as those who pass the ball efficiently.

Assist to Turnover Ratio helps us determine just that. Teams or players that pass the rock precisely will have a higher ratio than those that are sloppy dishing the pill. Turnovers can both, kill momentum and a team’s ability to score for extended periods while often allowing their opponents easy baskets in transition.

Pacemaker

You might not have heard of ‘pace factor’ but today, it is a widely-used measurement that evaluates a team’s pace of play and possessions. This stats can be extremely useful for college or pro basketball betting enthusiasts that like to bet the total. Pace Factor measures the average number of possessions by a team in a basketball game. Possessions are defined as a team’s possession that ends when a team scores a basket, turns the ball over or by commits a foul.

If It’s Free, It’s For Me!

Another optimal handicapping strategy for high scoring basketball teams is free-throw rate is as it measures a team’s ratio of foul shots to field goal attempts. This statistic can be used for both, an entire team’s or individual player’s free throws attempted based on the number of field goals attempted. The stat itself has an abbreviation of FTR.

Last But Not Least!

In addition to all of the aforementioned strategies, the last thing you need to do is check out a team’s recent play, the recent play of their key players, the injury report and how this team performs at home and on the road. High-scoring teams will occasionally unleash a low-scoring clunker every now and then and I believe that right after they do, it’s probably a good time to start backing them to get back to their high-scoring ways.