Bears vs Lions NFL Week 12 Odds & Expert Pick.

How to Bet Bears vs Lions NFL Week 12 Spread & Pick

Written by on November 21, 2018

For decades, the Detroit Lions have kicked off the Thanksgiving holiday by hosting the first NFL game of the day. No different this year as the Lions welcome their long-time rival Chicago Bears to Motown. The Bears are road NFL odds favorites at to complete the season sweep.

How to Bet Bears vs Lions NFL Week 12 Spread & Game Info

  • When: Thursday, 12:30 PM ET
  • Where: Ford Field, Detroit
  • TV: CBS
  • Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
  • Live Stream: NFL League Pass
  • NFL Week 12 Spread: Chicago Bears -4 (Total 45)

NFL Week 12 Parlay Picks


Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: -4°C/25°F
  • Humidity: 54%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 41%
  • Wind: 8 mph E
  • Stadium Type: Indoor

Last Meeting

Chicago ended a 10-game division losing streak with a 34-22 win over the Lions in Week 10. Mitch Trubisky threw for a career-high 355 yards and three touchdowns, and he rushed for a TD. It was the Bears’ first NFC North win since Oct. 31, 2016, vs. the Vikings. They were up 26-0 late in the first half before Detroit got on the board.

Allen Robinson caught six passes for 133 yards and two TDs. Khalil Mack had two of Chicago’s six sacks against Matthew Stafford. Bryce Callahan had a sack and an interception. Matthew Stafford was 25 of 42 for 274 yards, two touchdowns and a pair of interceptions. 

Why Bet on Chicago?

The Bears won their fourth straight game Sunday, 25-20 over the Vikings but it might have been costly to Mitch Trubisky. He completed 20-of-31 passes for 165 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. He also threw a pair of two-point conversions. Trubisky remained a threat in the run game, rushing for 43 yards on 10 carries. His only touchdown was 18-yard pass to a wide-open Anthony Miller in the end-zone. Jordan Howard had 18 carries for 63 yards. Tarik Cohen rushed seven times for 27 yards and caught 3-of-4 targets for 23 yards.

As for Trubisky, he apparently injured his throwing shoulder at some point, although it’s still more likely than not that he plays here. It’s believed the injury occurred on a late hit by Minnesota safety Harrison Smith near the end of the fourth quarter. Over Chicago’s past six games, Trubisky has 2,832 yards of total offense and has accounted for 23 touchdowns to go along with three two-point conversions.

While Coach Matt Nagy ruled out a long-term injury, the coach said Trubisky is “in pain” and unlikely to practice at all this week. Trubisky looks legitimately questionable at this point. Chase Daniel is the backup in Chicago. The Bears will become the first team since the 1970 merger to play a Sunday night game followed by a Thursday day game, which further complicates Trubisky’s predicament. 

Why Bet on Detroit?

The Lions ended a three-game skid with a 20-19 home upset of Carolina on Sunday. The Panthers opted to try for a 2-point conversion late and Cam Newton’s pass was incomplete. “I think you go for 2 on the road,” Coach Ron Rivera said.

Matthew Stafford completed 23-of-37 passes for 220 yards and a touchdown in the win. Stafford had about as nondescript a first half as possible. He threw for just 64 yards on 20 attempts. Kenny Golladay hauled in 8-of-14 targets for 113 yards and a touchdown. Bruce Ellington hauled in 6-of-9 targets for 52 yards. Active for the first time as a Lion, Ellington was plenty involved.

Bears vs Lions will be the first game on Thanksgiving.

Good-looking rookie RB Kerryon Johnson exited Week 11 against the Panthers with a left knee injury. Johnson came down hard on his left knee at the end of a run in the third quarter. He was looked at on the sidelines before limping into the locker room. Johnson was on fire before leaving, gaining 87 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries. Well on his way to his third 100-yard performance on the season, the budding dual-threat standout is averaging 5.4 yards per carry on the year, while chipping in 32 receptions in the passing game.

Johnson is not expected to require surgery, but he is in danger of missing multiple games and surely won’t play Thursday. The Lions will resort to some combination of LeGarrette Blount, Theo Riddick, and perhaps Zach Zenner in the backfield against the Bears.

Riddick already has a role as the third-down and two-minute back and could see an increase in overall snaps, particularly if Detroit were trailing in a game. He never has been a consistent rusher, but he is averaging 3.33 yards a rush and has 41 catches for 264 yards this year. Blount is averaging 2.35 yards per carry this season.

Starting WR Marvin Jones remains “week to week” with a bone bruise on his knee. He didn’t play Sunday.

NFL Week 12 Over/Under Betting Picks

Bears vs Lions NFL Week 12 Betting Trends

  • Bears are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
  • Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
  • Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Detroit
  • Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago’s last 7 games
  • Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
  • Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

Expert NFL Betting  Prediction for Bears vs Lions

Feels like a trap for Chicago and maybe no starting QB – take the points.

Bears vs Lions Thanksgiving Turkey Day Free Play Odds

Detroit Lions Betting