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Last but not least, let’s find out if the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars can cover the spread against Houston in their Week 10 AFC South divisional matchup.
Here’s A Closer Look At The Week 10 NFL Sharp Betting Picks
Kansas City at Carolina
When: Sunday, November 13, 2016 at 1:00 PM ETWhere: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: CBS
NFL Odds: Kansas City +3 / Total: 44
Analysis:
The Carolina Panthers have won two straight games, but I still don’t trust Cam Newton and company after watching them struggle mightily in their narrow 13-10 win over the lowly Rams last weekend. The Kansas City Chiefs are making my preseason pick of a division title look pretty good right now, seeing as how K.C. has won four straight coming into this matchup including a hard-fought 19-14 win over Jacksonville last weekend.
For me, the Chiefs are the pick to cover the NFL betting line, likely by getting the outright road win against a Panthers team that clearly isn’t the same team they were a year ago. Kansas City is now, the better defensive team in this matchup and they’ve gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games while Carolina has gone 1-4-1 ATS in its last half-dozen games overall. I like the Chiefs a nail-biter.
Pick: Kansas City +3 Points
Minnesota at Washington
When: Sunday, November 13, 2016 at 1:00 PM ETWhere: FedEx Field, Landover, Maryland
TV: FOX
NFL Odds: Minnesota +3 / Total: 42.5
Analysis:v The Minnesota Vikings have lost three straight games, but they’re still my pick to get the ATS win against a Washington Redskins team that has recorded a loss and a tie in its last two games. I know Minnesota hasn’t scored more than 16 points in its last three games, but they’ve also still been pretty solid defensively in now allowing more than 22 points along the way.
Washington has gone 2-2 SU at home this season and gives up more points per game (23.6 ppg) than they are putting on the board this season (23.2 ppg). However, that’s not my main reason for backing the Vikes. Simply put, I’m expecting Minnesota’s voracious defense to force mediocre Skins quarterback Kirk Cousins into at least two costly turnovers that turn the tide in this intriguing pairing.
Not only has Minnesota gone 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road dates, but the Vikes are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Washington. I fully expect veteran quarterback Sam Bradford and Minnesota’s struggling offense to put their fair share of points on the board against a Washington defense that isn’t very scary at all despite adding Pro Bowl cornerback Josh Norman.
Pick: Minnesota +3 Points
Houston at Jacksonville
When: Sunday, November 13, 2016 at 1:00 PM ETWhere: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
TV: CBS
NFL Odds: Houston -1.5 / Total: 42.5
Analysis:
The Houston Texans may not be the legitimate Super Bowl contenders they were hoping to transform into after adding quarterback Brock Osweiler in free agency last summer, but they’re still light years ahead of the awful Jacksonville Jaguars. Not only that, but the Texans are well-rested after getting a bye in Week 9 following their 20-13 Week 8 win over Detroit. Jacksonville has dropped its last three games while not scoring more than 22 points during the span.
More importantly, mediocre quarterback Blake Bortles will be facing a very good Houston’s defense that ranks 12th in points allowed (20.8 ppg) and can get after the quarterback as well as any team in the league today. Not only that, but with speedy stars like DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller and Lamar Miller, the Texans simply have more legitimate playmakers at the skill positions and should be able to use that talent to get past the Jags to cover the NFL betting line.
While Jacksonville is playing at home, the Jags have lost four of their last five in their back yard and are 1-4 ATS in their last five home dates against Houston. The Texans win and cover the NFL betting line with room to spare!
Pick: Houston -1.5 Points
