Week 11 NFL Winning Predictions: Tampa Bay At Kansas City

Written by on November 18, 2016

It’s Week 11 of the NFL season, and that means that all the teams who are on the outside looking in at the playoffs are beginning to run out of time to make things happen. The Kansas City Chiefs are currently one of the more comfortable teams in the league, as their 7-2 record has them as one of the top seeds in the AFC right now. Things are not quite so rosy in Tampa Bay, as the 4-5 Buccaneers are trailing the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC South, and need to start picking up some wins if they are to find their way back into the playoff conversation. The good news for the Bucs is that their deficit is not that tough to overcome, but the bad news is that their climb back begins with a game at Arrowhead Stadium in KC, which is a place where very few teams go and have any kind of success. The bookies would appear to agree, as the Chiefs are in as a 7.5-point favorite for this one.

Analyzing The Week 11 NFL Winning Predictions: Buccaneers At Chiefs

When: Sunday, November 20 at 1 PM ESTWhere: Arrowhead Stadium, KCTV: FOXRadio: WFUS and KCFXLive Stream: FOX Sports GONFL Odds: TBA 

Why bet on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have suffered from a glaring lack of consistency this season, but perhaps the biggest surprise in this regard is that it has been at home where most of their problems have surfaced. This is a team that seems to play better on the road, as their 3-1 record away from home backs up. Tampa Bay are a team that can score points, and they have been particularly good in their last 4 games, where they have averaged over 30 PPG. The problem that they have here is that they also tend to give up points, which means they are often forced to go into shootout mode to keep pace with their opponents. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 4-5 ATS this season, but are 3-1 ATS on the road.

Why bet on the Kansas City Chiefs

Just as they did last year, the Chiefs are beginning to get on a roll, and are coming into this one on a 5-game winning streak. This is not a team that tend to win big very often, and 3 of their last 4 games have been decided by 6 points or less. The Chiefs defense has been great at taking the ball away all season long, and that tends to put the offense in good field position. It certainly also helps that the offense has only turned the ball over once during that 5-game streak. The Chiefs are just 4-4 ATS this season, but they did cover in their last game against an NFC South opponent this season when they beat the Saints 27-21.

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I must admit that I have ben flip-flopping on this game all week, as I think there is the possibility of an upset here. I am going to play it a little safer by taking the Chiefs to win, and the Bucs to cover.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 Kansas City Chiefs 27