NFL Week 13 Game Preview, Odds & Pick: Denver at Miami

NFL Week 13 Game Preview, Odds & Pick: Denver at Miami

Written by on December 1, 2017

The Denver Broncos have lost seven straight games and the Miami Dolphins have lost five in a row. With both teams desperate to break their respective losing streaks, there’s only one question that NFL betting enthusiasts need answering: Which team is offering the best value when it comes to their NFL Week 13 betting odds surrounding this matchup?Let’s find out right now.

NFL Week 13 Game Preview, Odds & Pick: Broncos (3-8) vs. Dolphins (4-7)

  • When: Sunday, December 3 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
  • TV: FOX
  • Radio: 107.9 FM (Denver) / 106.3 FM (Miami)
  • Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
  • NFL Week 13 Odds: Denver Broncos -1.5 (Over/Under at 39.5)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 27°C/80°F
  • Humidity: 58%
  • Precipitation: 1%
  • Cloud Cover: 30%
  • Wind: 11 mph ENE
  • Stadium Type: Open

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati Week 13 NFL Odds & Expert Prediction

Team Records

  • All: Denver 3-8 / Miami 4-7
  • Home: Denver 3-3 / Miami 2-3
  • Away: Denver 0-5 / Miami 2-4
  • ATS: Denver 2-8-1 / Miami 3-6-2
  • Over/Under: Denver 6-4-1 / Miami 6-5

Why Bet on the Denver Broncos Odds at -1.5?

Why bet on the Broncos in this contest? Well, there’s the fact that Miami has a clueless starting quarterback by the name of Jay Cutler, not to mention a ton of desperation to snap their longest losing streak in over 50 years!Denver was competitive in last week’s 21-14 road loss against Oakland in a game that was marred by the highly-publicized brawl between Broncos cornerback Aqib Talib and Raiders wide receiver Michael Crabtree.For this week 13 matchup, the Broncos are going back to former starting quarterback Trevor Siemian with 2016 first round pick Paxton Lynch suffering a high ankle sprain against the Raiders last Sunday. Siemian lost his starting job earlier in the season but will now get another opportunity with Lynch expected to miss two to four weeks due to his injury.The Broncos have started three quarterbacks this season. Siemian started the first seven games of the season, Brock Osweiler then made three uninspiring starts and Lynch made one start. However, going back to their starter in their regular season opener looks like a good thing, seeing as how the Broncos are 3-4 with Siemian under center and 0-4 without him starting.Denver should have a different look offensively this week with former offensive coordinator Mike McCoy getting the ax following the Oakland game. Talib will be out for this affair after getting suspended and maybe we’ll all get to see Lynch cry on the sidelines for the second straight week (seriously). Joseph addressed the ejection of Talib, who was suspended for two games on Monday by the NFL.“It’s unacceptable,” Joseph said of Talib’s actions. “We can’t lose our best players because of personal battles.”The Broncos rank 26th in scoring (17.9 ppg) and 28th in points allowed (25.5 ppg).

Why Bet on the Miami Dolphins Odds at +1.5?

Why bet on the struggling Dolphins? Well, there’s the fact that they’re playing at home, combined with the fact that the Fins have gone from a 1-point favorite to a 1.5-point underdog.Miami got blown out of the water in their 35-17 Week 12 road loss to New England while failing to cover the chalk as a 17-point underdog just as I predicted. Veteran quarterback Jay Cutler has been a complete and utter disappointment this season by tossing nine interceptions and just 13 TD passes in nine starts – and continuing his career-long trend of failing to inspire any of his teammates.The Fins have a respectable backup in veteran Matt Moore, but they’ve gone 0-2 under him, so at this point, it probably doesn’t matter who starts under center. Cutler, who has gone 4-5 as a starter this season, was cleared from concussion protocol this week and is expected to start on Sunday.Dolphins are slight underdogs for their NFL Week 13 match-up against Denver.Miami foolishly traded running back Jay Ajayi to Philadelphia on Halloween for a pittance of a fourth-round draft pick despite the fact that Ajayi made the Pro Bowl last season with 1,272 rushing yards in just 12 starts. Miami’s one healthy running back, Kenyan Drake, lost a fumble against New England last weekend.“We need to clean up some things with ball security,” Gase said after Drake lost his second fumble in the past five games. “I look at that fumble (on Sunday), and it was completely avoidable, and (Drake) knows it. He takes a lot of pride in what he does, and he wants to be what we expect him to be.”The Dolphins rank 30th in scoring at a pitiful 15.8 points per game and equally depressing 21st in points allowed by giving up 26.3 points per contest.

Latest NFL Week 13 Betting Trends

  • Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Broncos are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games on the road
  • Dolphins are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Dolphins are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games

Expert NFL Week 13 Analysis and Prediction

I have no idea why an insane 61 percent of public bettors are going with the Miami Dolphins to cover the chalk in this contest, but I’m certainly not!Sure, Denver has serious problems at quarterback where Trevor Siemian, Brock Osweiler, and Paxton Lynch have all been underwhelming, to say the least, yet, somehow, I’d take all three of Denver’s quarterbacks over Miami’s Jay Cutler (okay, maybe not Brock Osweiler).With the Broncos being statistically better on both sides of the ball and the road team in this rivalry going 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, I say back the Denver Broncos to win outright to cover the spread.Pick: Denver -1.5