UFC 279: Chimaev Vs Diaz Betting Odds, Analysis & Picks

UFC 279: Chimaev Vs Diaz Betting Odds, Analysis & Picks

Undefeated Khamzat Chimaev steps into the Octagon to take on one of the legends of the sport, Nate Diaz, in the main event at UFC 279 on Saturday night. Diaz must find the old magic if he hopes to add a loss to Chimaev’s sparkling record. Also on the main card is a bout between Li Jingliang and former champ Tony Ferguson. Check out UFC Odds, analysis, and free picks for every fight on the UFC 279 main card.

MMA Betting Preview for UFC 279: Chimaev Vs Diaz

UFC 279 Event Info

  • When: Saturday, September 10 at 10:00 pm ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
  • TV / Streaming: ESPN PPV

Johnny Walker +159 vs Ion Cutelaba -208

Undefeated Johnny Walker heads into this bout with a decent 18-7 record. But Walker isn’t in good form. He’s lost 4-of-5, which is the main reason Ion Cutelaba is such a big favorite.

Cutelaba has lost 3-of-5 with a win and a draw, which doesn’t provide much confidence. Then again, Cutelaba is 12-2 via TKO or KO wins. It’s tough seeing the dog lasting all 3 rounds. 

UFC 279 Pick: Ion Cutelaba  

Irene Aldana -188 vs Macy Chiasson +147

Going back to 2019, Irene Aldana has won 3-of-4. The only loss the chalk in this has suffered happened in a match versus Holly Holm. The 2019 version of Holly Holm was a pretty good mixed martial artist. 

The underdog in this has a decent 9-2 record. Macy Chiasson is 3-0 via knockout or technical knockout and 2-1 via submissions. Chiasson’s last loss happened versus excellent Raquel Pennington. The dog can pull off the upset. 

UFC 279 Pick: Macy Chiasson  

Kevin Holland -212 vs Daniel Rodriguez +162

Rodriguez is 16-2. The underdog in this bout is 8-0 via knockout or technical knockout and has a  4-0 submission record. Rodriguez is going to have use all of his skills to beat the favorite.

Kevin Holland is 23-7. Holland hasn’t lost since a 2021 match versus Marvin Vettori. Since then, Kevin shows a draw and 2 straight wins. Holland is 11-0 via knockout or technical KO wins and 8-2 via submission victories. 

Holland’s 3-inch height advantage and 7-inch reach advantage is going to mean something in this bout. The chalk wins. 

UFC 279 Pick: Kevin Holland  

Li Jingliang -333 vs Tony Ferguson +242

Ferguson heads into this towards the tail end of his career. Tony’s last win happened versus Donald Cerrone in 2019 via a doctor stoppage. Since then, Ferguson has dropped 4 straight.

Li Jingliang has won 3-of-5 with a  couple of losses. Jingliang’s last loss happened via submission against Khamzat Chimaev. Most agree that Chimaev is the best middleweight at UFC. Li takes this.   

UFC 279 Pick: Li Jingliang  

Khamzat Chimaev -1100 vs Nate Diaz +550 | Welterweight – Main Event

It’s impossible not to respect Nate Diaz. The 37 year old warrior has a 21-13 record. Diaz has never shied away from a fight, which is why he’ll step into the Octagon versus the terrific Khamzat Chimaev.

The odds say it all. Diaz has lost 3-of-4, his opponent is almost a decade younger, is taller, and has a longer reach. Nate will make Khamzat earn it. But make no mistake, Chimaev wins this bout. 

UFC 279 Pick: Khamzat Chimaev


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