UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts

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On Saturday’s UFC Fight Night, McKenzie Dern takes on Angela Hill in what should be an exceptional main event. Before Dern and Hill throw down, Edmen Shahbazyan goes against Anthony Hernandez. Andre Fialho versus Joaquin Buckley is also on the main card. Keep reading for UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for Saturday night’s card.   

Keep reading for UFC betting lines, analysis, and free picks for main card bouts at this Saturday’s UFC Fight Night Dern vs. Hill.  

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts

When: Saturday, May 20 at 3:00 pm ET
Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
TV / Streaming: ESPN+

Diego Ferreira vs. Michael Johnson

UFC Odds: Diego Ferreira -150 vs. Michael Johnson +125
Weight class: Lightweight

Underdog Michal Johnson heads into this bout off a win. In his last, Johnson beat Mark Diakiese via three-round unanimous decision. Johnson had lost to Jaime Mullarkey via split-decision before the last.

Diego Ferreira hasn’t fought since December 18, 2021. Ferreira didn’t perform well in the bout, losing via second round knockout.

Going back further, Ferreira has lost 3 straight. 2 of the losses were by knockout. Backing the dog makes sense.  

UFC Fight Night Pick: Michael Johnson | Bet Diego Ferreira vs. Michael Johnson
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Andre Fialho vs. Joaquin Buckley

UFC Odds: Andre Fialho +190 vs. Joaquin Buckley -230
Weight class: Welterweight

Andre Fialho will be looking to get back on the winning track in this. Fialho will enter the Octagon on a 2-match losing streak. Jake Matthews and Muslim Salikhov beat Fialho via knockout in the underdog’s last 2.

Favored Joaquin Buckley has also lost his last 2 fights. But Buckley’s losses came against slightly better competition. Also, 1 of the losses was by unanimous decision. The favorite is the pick.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Joaquin Buckley | Bet Andre Fialho vs. Joaquin Buckley
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Emily Ducote vs. Loopy Godinez

UFC Odds: Emily Ducote +120 vs. Loopy Godinez -140
Weight class: Catchweight (120 lb)

Ducote versus Godinez projects as one of Saturday’s top bouts. Godinez has won 3 with a loss in her last 4. Loopy beat well-regarded Cynthia Calvillo via split-decision in the last.

Underdog Ducote fell to Angela Hill in her last. Before losing to Hill, Ducote had won 4 straight, but only 1 of the 4 wins was at UFC. Godinez gets it done.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Loopy Godinez | Bet Emily Ducote vs. Loopy Godinez
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Anthony Hernandez

UFC Odds: Edmen Shahbazyan +170 vs. Anthony Hernandez -200
Weight class: Middleweight

Shahbazyan brings a 12-3 record into this bout. The +170 underdog has a 2 inches height advantage. Not only that, but Shahbazyan will enter the Octagon after knocking out Dalcha Lungiambula in the second round in his last.

Beating Lungiambula, though, isn’t a huge accomplishment. Dalcha had lost 3 straight leading up to the bout. Anthony Hernandez has won 3 straight and 4-of-5. Hernandez is in better overall form than Shahbazyan. The chalk wins.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Anthony Hernandez | Bet Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Anthony Hernandez
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

McKenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill

UFC Odds: McKenzie Dern -170 vs. Angela Hill +145
Weight class: Women’s Strawweight

12-3 McKenzie Dern takes on 15-12 Angela Hill. Based on the records, one would expect Dern to be a much bigger favorite than the odds imply.

But Hill has won her last 2. Both victories were via unanimous decision. If Hill continues fighting the way she has, she’ll for sure give Dern a battle.

Dern, though, should win. McKenzie is 7-0 via submission victories. The favorite in this must get the fight to ground in order to take charge. If that happens, Hill will go back to her losing ways.  

UFC Fight Night Pick: McKenzie Dern | Bet McKenzie Dern vs. Angela Hill
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

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