UFC Fight Night Song vs. Simon Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts

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UFC, like they sometimes must do, called an audible and changed their main event on Saturday night to Song Yadong vs. Ricky Simon.

Yadong will enter the Octagon a slight +105 underdog. Will Song get it done or is the bout Simon’s to lose?

Keep reading for UFC betting odds, analysis, and free picks for the five main card bouts at UFC Fight Night on April 29.

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon Odds | MyBookie MMA Betting Preview

Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
When: Saturday, April 29 at 4:00 pm ET
Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
TV/Streaming: ESPN+

Josh Quinlan vs. Trey Waters

UFC Fight Night Odds: Josh Quinlan -175 vs. Trey Waters +150
Weight class: Welterweight
Josh Quinlan Record: 6-0-1 (4 knockouts)
Trey Waters Record: 7-1-0 (3 knockouts)

Josh Quinlan has a nice undefeated 6-0 record. Quinlan is 4-0 via knockout and technical knockout and 2-0 via submissions. Josh has 4 wins and a no contest in his last 5. Since the NC happened in Dana White’s Contender Series, it doesn’t show up on his record.

Trey Waters is 7-1. Waters lost his last, a championship fight at LFA 156. Quinlan is the chalk, but Waters has a 5 inches height advantage and a 5-inch reach advantage. Backing the dog makes sense.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Trey Waters | Bet Josh Quinlan vs. Trey Waters Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta

UFC Fight Night Odds: Marcos Rogerio de Lima -180 vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta +155
Weight class: Heavyweight
Marcos Rogerio de Lima Record: 20-8-1 (14 knockouts)
Waldo Cortes-Acosta Record: 9-0-0 (4 knockouts)

The underdog in this has 3-inch height and reach advantages. Not only that, but Waldo Cortes-Acosta is 9-0. The +155 choice has won 5 straight, including all 3 of his UFC bouts.

Marcos Rogerio de Lima is 20-9-1. Rogerio de Lima is great in the stand up, 13-1 via TKO or KO, but an okay 4-6on the mat. If Cortes-Acosta can get this to the ground, he will have a shot. The odds make the dog playable.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Waldo Cortes-Acosta | Bet Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Julian Erosa vs. Fernando Padilla

UFC Fight Night Odds: Julian Erosa -150 vs. Fernando Padilla +130
Weight class: Featherweight
Julian Erosa Record: 28-10-0 (11 knockouts)
Fernando Padilla Record: 14-4-0 (4 knockouts)

Favored Julian Erosa has a ton of experience. He’s got a 28-11 record. The record isn’t the real reason why Erosa is the favorite.

The real reason Julian is the chalk in this is because he’s 12-0 via submission. But Fernando Padilla is 8-0 via submission. Padilla also has a 14-0 record. The younger fighter, Padilla is 26 and Erosa is 33, prevails.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Fernando Padilla | Bet Julian Erosa vs. Fernando Padilla Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Rodolfo Vieira vs. Cody Brundage

UFC Fight Night Odds: Rodolfo Vieira -240 vs. Cody Brundage +200
Weight class: Middleweight
Rodolfo Vieira Record: 8-2-0 (1 knockout)
Cody Brundage Record: 8-3-0 (4 knockouts)

Cody Brundage heads into this off a loss, which might explain why he’s at +200. Michal Oleksiejczuk knocked out Brundage at the 3:16 mark of the first round in Cody’s last fight.

Rodolfo Vieira also lost his last bout. However, Vieira’s loss came via unanimous decision. If this goes to the ground, and it should, Vieira has an edge. The chalk is the pick.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Rodolfo Vieira | Bet Rodolfo Vieira vs. Cody Brundage Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Caio Borralho vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk

UFC Fight Night Odds: Caio Borralho -370 vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk +295
Weight class: Middleweight
Caio Borralho Record: 13-1-0 (4 knockouts)
Michal Oleksiejczuk Record: 18-5-0 (13 knockouts)

Oleksiejczuk is a good fighter, but he’s up against it versus Borralho. The underdog in this is a striker while the chalk has more overall skills.

Borralho is 13-1 with a 4-0 via knockout or technical knockout and 3-0 via submission victories record. Caio’s lone loss happened in 2015. The favorite wins.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Caio Borralho | Bet Caio Borralho vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Song Yadong vs. Ricky Simon

UFC Fight Night Odds: Song Yadong +105 vs. Ricky Simon -125
Weight class: Bantamweight
Song Yadong Record: 19-7-1 (8 knockouts)
Ricky Simon Record: 20-3-0 (6 knockouts)

Yadong lost his last, a great fight against Cory Sandhagen, but it wasn’t because Sandhagen knocked him out. Song lost because of a doctor stoppage.

Ricky Simon is on a 5-match winning streak. But Yadong is the best mixed martial artist he’s faced probably since the last loss, which came against Rob Font. Song gets the nod.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Song Yadong | Bet Song Yadong vs. Ricky Simon Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

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