UFC Fight Night Yan vs. Dvalishvili Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts

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Two of the more popular mixed martial artists at UFC throw down at Saturday’s UFC Fight Night at The Theatre at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas. Petr Yan takes on Merab Dvalishvili in the main event.

Before the main event, Alexandr Volkov throws down against Alexander Romanov. Keep reading for UFC odds, analysis, and free picks for the six main card bouts at UFC Fight Night on March 11.  

UFC Fight Night Yan vs. Dvalishvili Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts

When: Saturday, March 11 at 6:00 pm ET
Where: The Theatre at Virgin Hotels, Las Vegas, NV
TV / Streaming: ESPN+

Vitor Petrino vs. Anton Turkalj

Odds: Vitor Petrino -113 – Anton Turkalj -112
Weight class: Light Heavyweight

Turkalj versus Petrino should be one of the most competitive bouts on the UFC Fight Night card. The slight underdog, Anton Turkalj has an 8-1 record. Turkalj lost via submission in his last bout. Before the lost, Turkalj had won 4 straight.

Vitor Petrino is 7-0. Petrino is 7-0 via TKO or KO, which gives him an edge. Because Petrino is Brazilian he should have decent grappling skills. Give Vitor the nod.

UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino | Bet Vitor Petrino vs. Anton Turkalj Today
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Said Nurmagomedov vs. Jonathan Martinez

Odds: Said Nurmagomedov -263 – Jonathan Martinez +198
Weight class: Bantamweight

Underdog Jonathan Martinez is on a 4-match winning streak. Martinez is 17-4 overall and is 8-1 via knockout or technical knockout.

Chalk Said Nurmagomedov is 17-2. Like Martinez, Nurmagomedov is on a 4-match winning streak. Said is 4-0 via TKO or KO wins, and 5-0 via submission victories. Nurmagomedov’s losses have all come via decision. Said’s flexibility, he’s equally adept on the ground or standing up, should lead to another win.

UFC Fight Night: Said Nurmagomedov | Bet Said Nurmagomedov vs. Jonathan Martinez Today
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Ricardo Ramos vs. Austin Lingo

Odds: Ricardo Ramos -384 – Austin Lingo +279
Weight class: Featherweight

On paper, Austin Lingo has a big chance. The striker has won 4 of his last 5. He’s 9-1 overall, 3-0 via TKO or KO, and 2-0 via submission victories.

But although it looks like Lingo has a shot, the odds say Ricardo Ramos takes this no problem. Ramos is 7-1 via submission, which might be why he’s such a big favorite.

Still, the underdog offers better than fair odds. Lingo is worth the pick for sure.

UFC Fight Night: Austin Lingo | Bet Ricardo Ramos vs. Austin Lingo Today
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Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann

Odds: Nikita Krylov -178 – Ryan Spann +139
Weight class: Light Heavyweight

29-9 Nikita Krylov is 12-1 via knockout or technical knockout and 15-6 via submission victories. Krylov faces a tough dude in Ryan Spann.

Spann has won 3-of-4 and is 12-2 via submission wins. Ryan has a 2 inches height advantage and a 1.5 inches reach advantage. This can go either way. So backing the dog at the better odds makes sense.

UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann | Bet Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann Today
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Alexandr Volkov vs. Alexander Romanov

Odds: Alexandr Volkov +125 – Alexander Romanov -161
Weight class: Heavyweight

Volkov has big time physical advantages. The slight underdog in this bout is 6’ 7” compared to Alexander Romanov at 6’ 2”. Volkov has an 80” reach. Romanov’s reach is 75”.

Alexandr has lost 10 bouts and is 3-3 via submission wins. Romanov is 16-1, 6-0 via TKO or KO, and 9-0 via submissions. The chalk takes this.  

UFC Fight Night: Alexandr Romanov | Bet Alexandr Volkov vs. Alexander Romanov Today
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Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili

Odds: Petr Yan -270 – Merab Dvalishvili +204
Weight class: Bantamweight

Yan is taller by an inch. Dvalishvili has an inch reach advantage, which means neither fighter has a physical edge.

Petr has lost 3 of his last 4. The reason he’s such a heavy favorite is because 2 of the 3 losses were in title fights. The other loss came against 16-1 Sean O’Malley.

The underdog hasn’t lost since 2018 and is on an 8-match winning streak. Also, the odds make Dvalishvili an overlay.

UFC Fight Night: Merab Dvalishvili | Bet Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili Today
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