This weekend, NASCAR heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the AAA Texas 500. Homestead takes place on Nov. 17. Drivers must continue to perform to ensure a spot in NASCAR’s final four in Miami on that date. What driver is the better play between Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch? Is there a standout underdog? Check out the 2019 AAA Texas 500 odds and analysis!
2019 AAA Texas 500 Odds, Preview & Predictions
- When: Sunday, Nov. 3 at 3:00 pm ET
- Where: Texas Motor Speedway, Fort Worth, TX
- TV: NBC Sports Net
- Live Stream: NBCSN Live Stream
- Radio: PRN
Odds to Win the 2019 AAA Texas 500
- Kyle Busch +500
- Martin Truex Jr. +500
- Chase Elliott +700
- Denny Hamlin +700
- Joey Logano +800
- Kevin Harvick +800
- Kyle Larson +800
- Ryan Blaney +1200
- Brad Keselowski +1400
- Erik Jones +2500
- Kurt Busch +2500
- William Byron +2500
- Alex Bowman +2800
- Jimmie Johnson +3300
- Clint Bowyer +6600
- Aric Almirola +8000
- Daniel Suarez +8000
Which driver among Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch is the better play at +500 to at Texas Motor Speedway on Sunday?
Martin Truex Jr. finished ninth in this race last year. Kyle Busch finished worse than Truex Jr. did. Kyle crossed the finish line in seventeenth. There wasn’t a ton of movement from either driver in the 2019 AAA Texas 500.
Truex Jr. went from thirteenth to ninth. Busch went from tenth to seventeenth. Both could produce similar results on Sunday. The likelier outcome is that both drive better on Nov. 3. Although that’s true, Kyle Busch is the better play at +500.
Even though Martin Truex Jr. won in Martinsville in the last playoff race, he struggled to finish twelfth at Texas Motor Speedway back on March 31. Kyle Busch finished tenth. Busch also has an apparent pattern. He races okay in an event and then picks it up in the very next event.
Kyle finished fourteenth in Martinsville. Expect a Top 5 finish on Sunday.
Is there a driver between +700 and +1400 odds that can win the AAA Texas 500?
Because Kevin Harvick has won the last two AAA Texas 500 races, he deserves much respect. He also offers decent odds at +800. Harvick should be at the top of any NASCAR handicapper’s betting list.
Ryan Blaney offers some value at +1200. Blaney finished second behind Harvick at the 2018 AAA Texas 500.
What longshot driver with odds of at least +2500 can take the checkered flag on Nov. 3?
Of the underdogs, Erik Jones offers the most value. Jones finished third in this race last year. He finished fourth at Texas Motor Speedway on March 31. He also drives for Joe Gibbs Racing, which means we know his car will be ready to roll on Sunday.