On Friday night, Gegard Mousasi takes on Johnny Eblen for the middleweight title in the main event at Bellator 282. Mousasi is a big time favorite to beat Eblen. But the underdog has fought well in recent matches. Will Gegard show why he remains one of the best middleweight mixed martial artists in the world? Or will Eblen end Mousasi’s reign? Check out Bellator Lines, analysis, and a free pick for Mousasi versus Eblen and five other terrific matches on the Bellator 282 card.
Bellator 282 Betting Preview | MMA Analysis
Bellator 282 Main Card Info
- When: Friday, June 24 at 6:00 pm ET
Brent Primus +185 vs Alexander Shabliy -225
Underdog Brent Primus brings an 11-2 record into this bout. Since 2019, Primus has won 3-of-4. In his last bout, the +185 choice beat Benson Henderson via decision.
Alexander Shabliy is 22-3. The chalk has won 10 bouts via knockout or technical knockout, 7 bouts via submission, and 5 bouts via decision. Shabliy’s ability to go for the KO, submit his opponents, or win via a decision will serve him well in this. The chalk wins.
Bellator 282 Pick: Alexander Shabliy
Pam Sorenson +225 vs. Cat Zingano -275
Sorenson is a decent fighter. She has a 9-4 record and is patient, having won 7 of her 9 victories via decision.
But Cat Zingano is a veteran used to winning fights. Zingano has a 12-4 record. She’s lost 3 bouts via decision, 1 via knockout or technical knockout, and another via submission. Zingano can beat you in many ways. She’s the pick.
Bellator 282 Pick: Cat Zingano
Kassius Kayne +220 vs Brennan Ward -270
At 15-6, Brennan Ward has proven he can handle most opponents. Ward will enter the cage after beating Brandon Bell via second round TKO in February.
Before winning that match, Ward had lost 2 straight. But although 12-7, Kassius Kayne has yet to fight at this level. Kayne is in deep versus a brawler that’s back on the winning track.
Bellator 282 Pick: Brennan Ward
Enrique Barzola +135 vs Magomed Magomedov -160
Magomedov versus Barzola promises to be one of the most entertaining matches at Bellator 282. Barzola has a 18-5-2 record. The underdog in this has won 2 straight Bellator matches, over Darrion Caldwell and versus Nikita Mikhailov.
Magomed Magomedov is 18-2. The favorite in this lost his last bout via decision. To make matters more interesting, the loss, in a match versus Raufeon Stots, happened in 2021. Magomedov deserves to be the chalk.
Barzola offers great odds. The underdog is the play.
Bellator 282 Pick: Enrique Barzola
Leandro Higo +395 vs Danny Sabatello -540
Leandro Higo has a 21-5 record. Higo is on a 3-match winning streak. The dog in this submitted Shawn Branch and Ricky Bandejas. In his last, Higo beat Darrion Caldwell via decision.
Danny Sabatello is 12-1. The favorite in this match can win via decision, like he has in his last couple, by submitting his opponent, or by knocking out his opponent. Sabatello fought in April. Recency gives the favorite an edge.
Bellator 282 Pick: Danny Sabatello
Johnny Eblen +205 vs Gegard Mousasi -255
Johnny Eblen deserves this shot. The challenger has an 11-0 record. He’s won 5 via knockout or technical knockout, 5 via decision, and 1 via submission.
The lone submission victory is one of the reasons Eblen is a such a big underdog. Gegard Mousasi is 49-7 with 28 TKO or KO wins, 9 wins via decision, and 12 victories via submission.
If Mousasi can’t knock you out, he will either beat via decision or force you to submit. Eblen doesn’t stand much of a chance of beating the champ.
Bellator 282 Pick: Gegard Mousasi
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