Boxing Garcia vs Vargas Welterweights – 12 Rounds

2020 Mikey Garcia vs Jessie Vargas Boxing Odds, Preview, and Pick

Written by on February 28, 2020

Two of the top welterweight boxers in the world step into the ring at the Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas on Saturday, Feb. 29. The great Mikey Garcia goes to battle against tough customer Jessie Vargas. Garcia is a massive -480 favorite. Will Mikey get the job done? Or, will Jesse add a second straight loss to Mikey’s record? Check out boxing odds, a preview, and a free pick for Garcia vs Vargas!

Boxing Garcia vs Vargas Welterweights – 12 Rounds

Why Jessie Vargas is a good bet +360

Record: 29-2-2 – 11 KOs

Vargas is a fighter. His last loss was in 2016. That’s a string of 4 fights without a loss. The defeat happened against Manny Pacquiao. So, it’s not like Vargas suffered an “L” to a bad fighter. The key for Jessie in every fight is to instill his style. What’s Jessie’s style? He’s got to push Mikey into a brawl. That could happen because Garcia must prove himself. This is Mikey’s first fight since losing to Errol Spence Jr.

Form Last 5

  • Win vs Humberto Soto via KO
  • Draw vs Thomas Dulorme
  • Draw vs Adrien Broner
  • Win vs Aaron Herrera via UD
  • Loss vs Manny Pacquiao via UD

Why Mikey Garcia is a good bet -480

Garcia does head to Frisco, Texas after the first loss of his career. It’s no time to panic, though. Few fighters, maybe, no fighter, can outbox Errol Spence Jr. ESJ is one of the top boxers on the planet. It doesn’t matter weight class. Vargas is a long step down from Spence Jr. If Garcia is at the top of his game, and there’s no reason to believe he won’t be, Mikey should punish Jessie.

Record: 39-1 – 30 KOs

Form Last 5

  • Loss vs Erroll Spence Jr. via UD
  • Win vs Robert Easter Jr. via UD
  • Win vs Sergey Lipinets via UD
  • Win vs Adrien Broner via UD
  • Win vs Dejan Zlaticanin via KO

Mikey Garcia vs Jessie Vargas Final Boxing Betting Analysis

This fight is a huge deal for Mikey Garcia. He was undefeated until facing Errol Spence Jr. in his last. Errol handled Garcia no problem. But we know that Spence Jr. is one of the Top 5 boxers in the world right now. So, losing to him isn’t a big deal.

The bigger question is whether Mikey can get past the loss. If he doesn’t mentally, Vargas will get to him. The reason? Vargas knows only a single way to go and that’s to attack. But although it’s helped Jessie gain 29 victories, his style could backfire in this.

If Garcia enters the ring mentally prepared, he should dominate Vargas on Saturday night. Jessie doesn’t just move forward, he moves forward with no real plan. He keeps his arms and hands extremely far from his body. Even a fighter like Humberto Soto found holes in Vargas’ defense. Soto is a 39-year-old journeyman with 81 fights.

If Soto could get to Vargas, what do you think Garcia will do? Mikey will wait for Jessie to come to him, pop him with 2 or 3 punch combinations, move to the side, and set up another opportunity. Jessie Vargas can’t change who is. Mikey figures to take advantage.

Although it’s tough backing chalk, Garcia should rock Vargas on Feb. 29. Back Mikey Garcia to cash.

Garcia vs Vargas Boxing Pick: Mikey Garcia -480