Alabama vs Duke 2019 College Football Week 1 Odds, Prediction & Pick

Alabama vs Duke 2019 College Football Week 1 Odds, Prediction & Pick

Written by on August 28, 2019

Alabama begins their quest to win Nick Saban’s sixth national championship on Saturday, August 31 versus the ACC’s Duke Blue Devils. Bama is the favorite along with Clemson to win the title. Will Bama dominate Duke and cover the spread? Or, will Duke manage to keep the game closer than the number? Check out the college football odds, analysis, and a free pick for Alabama-Duke!

Alabama vs Duke 2019 College Football Week 1 Odds, Prediction & Pick

  • When: Saturday, Aug. 31 at 3:30pm ET
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • Live Stream: ESPN+
  • ATS Odds: Alabama -35
  • Moneyline Odds: Alabama -15000, Duke +6000
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 57 ½

Why Alabama Crimson Tide are a good bet -35?

Alabama should be a favorite to win the National Championship. The Crimson Tide returns quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and a group of amazing wide receivers. The rushing attack as always will be stellar while the defense as always will be one of the top units in college football.

Bama’s head coach Nick Saban, no doubt, learned a lot from the loss to Clemson in the 2019 National Championship. Saban won’t let the Crimson Tide rest on their laurels this season. The quest for another title starts by beating Duke by more than 40 points.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 522
  • Passing Yards: 323.6
  • Rushing Yards: 147.2
  • Points Scored: 45.6
  • Total Yards: 320.3
  • Passing Yards: 198.3
  • Rushing Yards: 122
  • Points Allowed: 18.1

Why Duke Blue Devils are a good bet +35?

Although the Blue Devils lost quarterback Daniel Jones to the NFL, his replacement, Quinten Harris, has the ability to pick up where Jones left. Harris will play behind an experienced offensive line while he’s got some talent around him. More importantly, Alabama must replace more than a few starters on defense. So, the Devils have a shot to keep this one closer than the odds indicate.

Team Statistics

  • Total Yards: 405.7
  • Passing Yards: 246.1
  • Rushing Yards: 159.6
  • Points Scored: 29.4
    • Total Yards: 408.8
    • Passing Yards: 199.5
  • Rushing Yards: 209.3
  • Points Allowed: 27.4

College Football Week 1Betting Trends for Alabama vs Duke

  • Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
  • Blue Devils are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in August
  • Over is 5-0 in Blue Devils last 5 neutral site games
  • Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
  • Crimson Tide is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus the ACC
  • Crimson Tide is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conf games
  • Over is 5-1 in the Crimson Tide’s last 6 non-conf games

Alabama vs Duke Final Betting Analysis

Last season, Tua’s first as the starter, Alabama scored 50 points or more in their first 3 games. The Crimson Tide beat Louisville 51-14, Arkansas State 57-7, and Ole Miss 62-7. Alabama’s offense was unstoppable for most of the season.

It should be unstoppable on Saturday because the Crimson Tide faces one of the worst defenses in college football. In 2018, the Duke Blue Devils ranked seventy-second in scoring defense and seventy-seventh in total defense. That’s not the worst of it. Duke also lost their top four tacklers, which means a bad defense just got even more bad.

Alabama should have no trouble covering the spread in this one. Expect the Crimson Tide to win by 42 points or more.

College Football Week 1 Pick: Alabama -35