Astros Are the MLB Betting Pick in ALDS Game 4 Odds vs. Red Sox

Astros Are the MLB Betting Pick in ALDS Game 4 Odds vs. Red Sox

Written by on October 9, 2017

The Houston Astros will look to close out the Boston Red Sox in Game 4 of their ALDS matchup on Monday afternoon after failing to do so in their humbling 10-3 loss on Sunday. The ALDS Game 4 odds favor the Astros at -130, but they are playing in Fenway Park, so the home team will have an advantage over the visiting team and might even be the right MLB betting pick. Boston will be looking to become just the eighth team in the current five-game format to erase an 0-2 deficit to tie this series and force a fifth game. Right-hander Charlie Morton will be on the mound for Houston while Boston counters with right-hander Rick Porcello.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox ALDS Game 4 Odds & MLB Betting Pick

When: Monday, October 9, 1:00 PM EDT Where: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts TV: FS1 Live Stream: Radio: KBME 790, WEEI 93.7 MLB Betting Odds: Houston -130 / Boston +110 Over/Under: 10.5

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 23°C/74°F
  • Humidity: 89%
  • Precipitation: 24%
  • Wind: 12 mph SSW
  • Cloud Cover: 99%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Probable Pitchers

Houston – Charlie Morton – R – (14-7, 3.62 ERA, 163 K)

Charlie Morton is on fire, having not allowed more than five earned runs in each of his last five starts while tossing at least five innings in each outing. The veteran right-hander also led Houston to a narrow 3-2 win over Boston on Sept. 29 at Fenway Park by limiting the Sox to two earned runs on four hits in 5.1 innings in his final regular season start.

Boston – Rick Porcello – R – (11-17, 4.65 ERA, 181 K)

Rick Porcello may have won the 2016 AL Cy Young a year ago by going 22-4 but that was then and this is now. Anyway, the right-hander tossed one inning of no-hit relief against Boston in his final regular season appearance, but got smacked around to the tune of nine earned runs over his previous two combined starts spanning a a combined 9.2 innings while giving up three home runs and 11 hits against Cincinnati and Toronto. Not only did Porcello struggle to close out the regular season, but he has compiled an uninspiring 5.82 ERA in three career postseason starts with Boston in 2016 and Detroit in 2011.

How to Bet on the 2017 MLB Playoffs

Recent Head to Head Statistics (Last 10 Games)

  • Runs: Houston Astros 5.40 / Boston Red Sox 3.60
  • Hits: Houston Astros 10.70 / Boston Red Sox7.60
  • Walks: Houston Astros 3.90 / Boston Red Sox 240
  • Strike Outs: Houston Astros 7.50 / Boston Red Sox 8.60
  • Over/Under: Houston Astros 5-4-1 / Boston Red Sox 5-4-1

Why Bet on the Red Sox?

The bottom line for Boston is that the Red Sox are in a must-win position for the second straight game. Boston will look to duplicate the excellence they showed in Sunday’s series-saving win. “We’ve got to win tomorrow,” Red Sox outfielder Jackie Bradley Jr. said. “I think we’re just focused on one game and playing hard. Focus on winning one pitch at a time. Nothing more, nothing less. We don’t want to relax. We’ve got to keep fighting. We’ve got to stay on them.” “We did a lot of things really well today,” said veteran Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia. “Our backs are against the wall. We’re just playing for each other, and try to continue to play. That’s it. That’s what we’re focused on.” If you didn’t know, Monday’s meeting will be the eighth straight time these two teams have met with the pair closing out the regular season with a four-game set at Fenway Park.

Team Record

  • All: 94-71
  • Home: 49-33
  • Away: 45-38
  • As Favorite: 76-53
  • As Underdog: 18-18
  • ATS: 86-78
  • Over/Under: 72-85-8
  • Against Left-Hand Pitchers: 18-20
  • Against Right-Hand Pitchers: 76-51

Why Bet on the Astros?

Houston however, is planning on closing out this series in Game 4 after failing to get the series sweep on Sunday. “We came here to win today and get the sweep,” Astros shortstop Carlos Correa said after Sunday’s loss. “We didn’t want to lose. But tomorrow’s another day. We’ll go out there and battle like we always do, and hopefully come out with a win.” Unfortunately for Boston, Houston has gone 5-2 during the stretch. “This is a good team,” Astros pitcher Lance McCullers Jr. said. “We’re playing the AL East champs. I don’t understand why people just expected us to steamroll them every single game. They have a good team.” Are the Astros a safe MLB betting pick in Game 4 of the ALDS?

Team Record

  • All: 103-62
  • Home: 50-33
  • Away: 53-29
  • As Favorite: 99-53
  • As Underdog: 4-9
  • ATS: 87-78
  • Over/Under: 84-72-9
  • Against Left-Hand Pitchers: 23-24
  • Against Right-Hand Pitchers: 80-38

Latest MLB Betting Trends

  • Houston is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Houston is 8-2 SU in the last 10 games
  • The total went OVER in 8 of Houston’s last 11 games
  • Boston is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Boston is 2-5 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went OVER in 7 of Boston’s last 10 games

Expert MLB Betting Pick & Prediction

The Boston Red Sox are going to give it their all in Game 4, but unfortunately, they’re going down and going down hard against a Houston team that is too good and too focused right now, not to mention they’ve got arguably the best player in all of baseball on their roster in the incredible Jose Altuve. Houston has gone 7-2 in their last nine road games, 6-1 in Charlie Morton’s last seven starts against a team with a winning record and 5-1 in Morton’s last six starts overall. Boston has gone 1-4 in their last 5 Game 4 contests, 1-5 in their last six playoff games and 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games. Jose Altuve went 3-for-4 in Game 3, improving his ALDS average to .727 which is the highest average for an Astros player in a single postseason series.  This series ends on Monday. MLB Betting Pick: Houston 6 Boston 3
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