Mets vs Padres MLB Betting Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick

Mets vs Padres MLB Betting Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick

Written by on May 7, 2019

The New York Mets will be looking to snap a four-game skid when they take on the San Diego Padres in the second game of their three-game set on Tuesday night. After ending up on the wrong end of a humbling loss in the series opener on Monday, let’s find out if New York can rebound in Game 2 or whether the Padres are the pick to extend their own modest winning streak.

Mets vs Padres MLB Betting Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick

Starting Pitchers

  • Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (2-3, 5.02 ERA)
  • Padres RH Cal Quantrill (0-1, 3.18)

Why Bet On New York?

The Mets have lost four straight and five of their last six games including their 4-0 shutout loss against the Padres on Monday. Left-fielder Jeff McNeil had two hits while third baseman Todd Frazier and starting pitcher Jacob deGrom added New York’s only other hits in the discouraging loss. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom allowed two runs and four hits over seven innings in a game that took just 2 hours, 14 minutes.

“Made a couple mistakes and didn’t get away with them,” deGrom said. “When I did leave a ball over the middle they put it into play where nobody was standing.”

The Mets have scored a paltry eight runs over their last six games while getting held to one run or less four times during the stretch. In addition to that, the Mets have allowed 11 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last 12 games. For this contest, the Mets will hand the ball to right-hander Noah Syndergaard. The 26-year-old Texan tossed a fantastic nine-inning shutout against Cincinnati in his last start while allowing just four hits and striking out 10 to win National League Pitcher of the Week honors. Prior to his commanding start against the Reds, Syndergaard had a four-start stretch where allowed 18 earned runs in 22.0 innings. Syndergaard is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in three career starts against San Diego, striking out 24 batters in 18 innings.

Why Bet On San Diego?

Are the Padres the safest bet in the MLB odds?

The Padres have won two straight and three of five overall including their win over New York on Monday. San Diego got two hits and a pair of RBI from veteran first baseman Eric Hosmer and a solo jack from outfielder Hunter Renfroe, but it was rookie right-hander Chris Paddack that starred by limiting the Mets to four hits in 7.2 innings while striking out a season-high 11 batters. Padres manager Andy Green said Paddack “was on another level.”

“That’s as aggressive as he’s come out,” Green added.

For this contest, the Padres will turn to right-hander Cal Quantrill who will be making his second career start after losing to Atlanta in his big league debut last Wednesday despite allowing just two runs on six hits in 5.2 solid innings. The 24-year-old was the eighth overall pick by the Padres in the 2016 draft. Quantrill posted a 3-1 record and 4.68 ERA in five starts for Triple-A El Paso prior to being recalled. The Padres have scored 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last seven games.

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Mets vs Padres

With the way the Mets are swinging the bats, I’d say there’s no way they win this game – until I think about Noah Syndergaard’s last start that is. After a painful start, the hard-throwing right-hander got back to looking like the gifted power pitcher he is against the Reds in his last start. I’m going to go with the Mets to get the super narrow win out of desperation and another powerful performance from ‘Thor’ in this contest.

The Mets have gone 10-4 in their last 14 during game 2 of a series while also going 4-1 in Syndergaard’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. New York has also gone 5-2 in Syndergaard’s last 7 starts against teams from the NL West, 11-5 in Syndergaard’s last 16 starts during game 2 of a series and 22-10 in Syndergaard’s last 32 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Padres are 4-9 in their last 13 games against a team with a losing record, 9-22 in their last 31 during game 2 of a series, 2-5 in their last 7 Tuesday games and 2-7 in their last 9 home games against a team with a losing record. I’m going with the Mets for the streak-ending win.

MLB Betting Pick: Mets 4 Padres 2