Nationals vs Mets MLB Week 1 Odds, Preview, and Pick

Nationals vs NY Mets MLB Week 1 Odds, Preview, and Pick

Written by on April 4, 2019

A huge pitching matchup’s set to take place on Thursday afternoon when the Washington Nationals send Stephen Strasburg and the New York Mets send Noah Syndergaard to the mound. Both pitchers will try to establish dominance early. Whichever pitcher does could lead their team to victory. Check out MLB betting odds, analysis, and a pick for Nationals-Mets!

Nationals vs Mets MLB Week 1 Odds, Preview, and Pick

  • When: Thursday, April 4 at 1:10pm ET
  • Where: Citi Field, New York, NY
  • TV: MLBN
  • Radio: Nationals / Mets
  • Live Stream:
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets -130
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 6 ½

Why Washington Nationals are a good bet at +110?

Strasburg battled the Mets on March 30 and it wasn’t pretty. He allowed 4 earned runs off 7 hits in 6 innings. The Nationals lost 8-11.

But, Stras also struck out 8 batters. That’s a sign he only must make a few adjustments to turn the tables on NYM in this game on Thursday afternoon. He allows the Mets to bat .266 while only Yoenis Cespedes really gets to him, going 9-of-18 and hitting .500. If Stras can control Yoenis, he might lead the Nationals to an upset win.

Team Statistics

  • Runs/G: 5.00
  • BA: .257
  • OPS: .767
  • HR: 7
  • SB: 36
  • ERA: 6.60
  • WHIP: 1.71
  • KS: 51
  • Quality Starts: 2
  • Errors: 2

Why New York Mets are a good bet at -130?

Like Strasburg, Syndergaard had an awful time in his first start of the season. He battled Strasburg and the Nats on March 30, yielding 4 earned runs off 7 hits in 6 innings. Syndergaard struck out 7, though, which means just like his rival, there’s a chance he makes the necessary adjustments to be strong on April 4.

The Nationals only bat .241 overall versus Thor. His kryptonite is Anthony Rendon, who is 10-of-29 against him with 2 home runs. If Syndergaard can control Rendon, he might get the upper hand on Strasburg and Washington.

Team Statistics

  • Runs/G: 6.20
  • BA: .277
  • OPS: .734
  • HR: 3
  • SB: 3
  • ERA: 3.25
  • WHIP: 1.31
  • KS: 48
  • Quality Starts: 1
  • Errors: 5

MLB Betting Trends for Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

  • Nationals are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series
  • Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 Thursday games
  • Nationals are 13-3 in their last 16 road starts versus a team with a winning record
  • Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 overall
  • Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games
  • Mets are 8-0 in Syndergaard’s last 8 starts versus a team with a losing record

Nationals vs Mets Final MLB Betting Analysis

The Mets are 5-1 on the moneyline this season after beating the Marlins 6-4 in their last. Although Syndergaard didn’t dominate on March 30, he did enough for New York’s bats to get the win.

That’s the key in this matchup on Thursday night as well. Syndergaard can have a bad outing, but Washington’s bullpen is so awful that Mets bats could provide a bailout in the final 3 innings. That’s what happened on March 30 when NYM scored 7 runs in the eighth and ninth. Expecting a similar sort of game this afternoon.

MLB Free Pick: Mets -130
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