The Cincinnati Reds acquired Sonny Gray in a trade from the Yankees in the offseason, but with the Reds in the last place of the NL Central might they look to trade Gray for prospects? Gray can boost his stock with a strong effort in Milwaukee on Friday. The Brewers are MLB Betting favorites.
Reds vs Brewers MLB Spread & Prediction
- When: Friday, 8:10 PM ET
- Where: Miller Park
- Probable pitchers (away/home): Sonny Gray/Chase Anderson
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- Radio: WFAW
- MLB Spread: Milwaukee Brewers -120 (Total 9)
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Why Bet on Cincinnati?
The Reds surprisingly swept the powerful Houston Astros to open this week. Yasiel Puig hit his 14th homer of the year in Wednesday win’s He pounced on a 96-mph offering from Astros flamethrower Gerrit Cole, depositing it into the left-field seats for a solo home run to begin the second inning. Puig struck again with a two-out double in the eighth. Puig is hitting .400 (12-for-30) with three homers and five RBI over his last eight contests entering Thursday.
In 81 career appearances at Miller Park, Joey Votto is batting .339 with 18 homers and 53 RBIs. He has hit safely in 20 of his last 23 games there. His 18 dingers are his highest total in any road ballpark, and his 53 RBI is second to his 57 RBI at Chi’s Wrigley Field. For visiting players with a minimum of 200 plate apps, he enters this series ranked among all Brewers opponents at Miller Park in on-base percentage (.462, 1st), slugging (.598, 1st), walks (65, 1st), hitting (.339, 1st), hits (97, 3rd), HR (18, 3rd), doubles (20, T4th) and RBI (53, 5th). Votto’s 35 homers overall against the Brewers are his most vs. any opponent and his 108 RBI his second-highest vs any opponent (113 vs Cubs).
Sonny Gray (3-5) allowed three runs on five hits with eight strikeouts and no walks across five innings to earn a victory against the Rangers on Sunday. The 29-year-old tossed up two homers, which accounted for all three of the Rangers’ runs, but that’s about all the damage Texas could inflict on the right-hander. Gray struck out at least eight batters for the fourth time this season, and with the win, he improved to 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA in his last five outings. Overall, Gray is 3-5 with a 3.77 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and 79 strikeouts in 71.2 innings.
Gray had one of his best starts of 2019 at Miller Park on May 21, allowing five hits in six innings for a 3-0 win. Gray walked four but struck out nine, as he worked his way out of jams.
Team Stats
Offense- Runs: 4.29
- Hits: 7.84
- Walks: 3.10
- Strike Outs: 8.74
- Runs: 3.64
- Hits: 7.64
- Walks: 3.22
- Strike Outs: 9.56
Why Bet on Milwaukee?
The Brewers swept the first series of the season between these teams, 3-0 from 4/1-4/3 at Great American Ball Park, while the teams split the 2-game series at Miller Park in May. In 2018 the Reds went 6-13 vs the Brewers, their most losses ever in a season vs Milwaukee.
The Brewers avoided disaster on Tuesday with 3B/2B Mike Moustakas. He suffered only a contusion on his left hand after getting hit by a pitch, but X-rays came back negative and he is likely to play Friday. Here’s a statistical oddity: Reigning NL MVP Christian Yelich hit his MLB-leading 27th home run Wednesday on 1-1 pitch from SD’s Matt Strahm. It was Yelich’s first homer on a 1-1 count this season. Yelich is a Triple Crown threat, entering this series batting .341 with those 27 homers along with 58 RBI and an OPS of 1.184. Guy is a monster.
Milwaukee has one of the best bullpens in the majors. Josh Hader remains nearly unhittable, while Jeremy Jeffress has come back from an early season injury and has only allowed two earned runs in his last 10 games. It took him several games to get his velocity back, but its back now.
Chase Anderson (3-1, 4.05) allowed four runs on five hits and four walks across four innings in a no-decision Sunday against the Giants. He struck out three. Anderson was plagued by inefficiency in this outing and ran up his pitch count in the second inning when he allowed two runs on three hits and a walk. He came back out for the fifth but allowed the first three batters to reach base and was fortunate to be charged with only one additional run as the bullpen put out the fire. Anderson turned in a quality start in his previous outing, but overall he’s failed to go deeper than five innings in four of his last five.
After going 2-0 with a 2.78 ERA in his first five 2019 starts, Anderson is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA in three starts in June. He is throwing the curve a career-low 10.9 percent of the time while allowing a .471 opponents’ batting average on the pitch.
Team Stats
Offense- Runs: 4.93
- Hits: 8.64
- Walks: 3.80
- Strike Outs: 9.49
- Runs: 4.93
- Hits: 8.83
- Walks: 3.55
- Strike Outs: 9.39
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Reds vs Brewers MLB Betting Trends
- Under is 4-1-1 in Anderson’s last 6 starts vs. Reds.
- Reds are 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in Milwaukee.
- Reds are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games against Milwaukee
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games on the road
- Brewers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games this season
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Expert Final Score Prediction for Reds vs Brewers
Cincinnati Reds 4 – Milwaukee Brewers 6
