The fate of a team can very often lie within the division in which they play. It’s never easy to come out on top over the course of a 162-game season, especially when you consider all the factors that go into creating a winning season, but it simply gets tougher depending on the division. While some divisions are competitive, there are others where there are some definite favorites who have money to spend year after year. One such division is the AL East, where the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox are the undisputed kings. It makes things tough for teams like the Toronto Blue Jays, as they don’t have the big money of the other two.
Their opponent to start the week is the Minnesota Twins, who play in a division that is not particularly competitive. That said, they are still very deserving of their top billing right now, and they will look to build on that against a Blue Jays team going through a rough patch of form. The Twins are favored by 1 ½, with the O/U set at 9.
Twins vs Blue Jays MLB Odds & Pick for Tuesday Night
- When: Tuesday, May 7 at 7:07 PM EST
- Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- Starting Pitchers: Berrios vs. Sanchez
- TV: MLB Extra Innings
- Radio: TBJ Network
- Live Stream: MLB.tv
- MLB Odds: Minnesota Twins -175 (Total 9)
Why bet on the Minnesota Twins?
The Minnesota Twins have been very strong to start the season, jumping out to an impressive 21-12 record in the early going. They are on a particularly good run at the moment, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, with one of those wins being an 8-0 drubbing of the Blue Jays in the opening game of this series.
That was a nice way to bounce back after losing 2 of 3 to the Yankees on the road over the weekend. With those last 4 games on the road, Minnesota is now 10-7 away from home, going a perfect 5-0 SU when in as a road favorite. While they win on the road as a favorite, the Twins don’t blow anyone away, going 1-4 ATS in those 5 games. Minnesota will send Jose Berrios (5-1, 2.91 ERA) to the mound for this one.
- Runs: 5.27
- Hits: 8.55
- Walks: 2.97
- Strike Outs: 7.33
- Runs: 4.27
- Hits: 8.15
- Walks: 3.18
- Strike Outs: 8.48
Why bet on the Toronto Blue Jays?
The Toronto Blue Jays spent much of the early part of the season treading water and playing .500 ball, but they are now starting to fall off the pace a little. Toronto has now lost 3 games in a row, seeing their overall record fall to 15-20 in the process. Playing at home has not really proven to be too much of an advantage for the Blue Jays, as they are 2 games below .500 at 7-9 in their own ballpark.
With the loss to the Twins last night, the Blue Jays are now 5-8 versus teams from the AL Central Division. Overall, Toronto is 13-10 ATS as an underdog, although just 2-2 ATS as a home dog. Toronto will send Aaron Sanchez (3-2, 3.09 ERA) to the mound for this one.
- Runs: 3.80
- Hits: 7.54
- Walks: 2.86
- Strike Outs: 9.80
- Runs: 4.23
- Hits: 7.34
- Walks: 3.83
- Strike Outs: 8.43
Twins vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Trends
- Twins are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Toronto
- Twins are 61-50 against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota’s last 12 games on the road
- Blue Jays are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
- Blue Jays are 16-8 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games at home
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
While the Twins look like a pretty solid favorite here, I think this pitching match-up could help keep things a little closer. I am taking the Blue Jays to cover the spread in this one, albeit in a losing cause. Let’s also take the UNDER.
Score: Minnesota Twins 4 – Toronto Blue Jays 3