Bucks vs 76ers 2019 NBA Christmas Day Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Bucks vs 76ers 2019 NBA Christmas Day Lines, Analysis & Prediction

Written by on December 24, 2019

The Milwaukee Bucks travel East to battle the Philadelphia 76ers in a key Eastern Conference matchup on Dec. 25. The Bucks have the best record in the NBA. They’ve lost a single game in their last 20. Will Milwaukee beat Philadelphia in what right now is an even game? Or, will the 76ers prove that they can hang with Giannis Antetokounmpo and the top team in the league? Keep reading for NBA odds, analysis and a free pick for Bucks vs 76ers!

Bucks vs 76ers 2019 NBA Christmas Day Lines, Analysis & Prediction

  • When: Wednesday, Dec. 25 at 2:30 pm ET
  • Where: Wells Fargo Center-PA, Philadelphia, PA
  • TV: ABC
  • ATS Odds: 76ers -1

Why the Milwaukee Bucks are a good bet +1?

Who said they only play football in Wisconsin? The Bucks dominate. Milwaukee has a ridiculous 27-4 record. They’re 12-2 SU in away games this season. Their first road loss happened on Oct. 30 against the Boston Celtics. Milwaukee lost to the Utah Jazz on Nov. 8. Since then, they’ve dominated their road foes. Also, the Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7. The 6 wins against the spread include 2 on the road against Memphis and New York. Milwaukee can take this Christmas Day matchup.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 120.7
  • Field Goal %: 48.4
  • 3-Point %: 36
  • Free Throw %: 72.6
  • Rebounds/G: 50.9
Defense:
  • Points/G: 107.9
  • Field Goal %: 41.7
  • 3-Point %: 36.9
  • Free Throw %: 76.4
  • Rebounds/G: 45.9

Why the Philadelphia 76ers are a good bet -1?

The 76ers are one of the few teams that can hang with the Bucks. Philadelphia lost by 6, 122-128, the last time they faced Milwaukee. That happened last April. This season’s 76ers team is better. Joel Embiid took the Bucks to task with 34 points, 13 rebounds, and 13 assists. Ben Simmons dished 13 assists as well. Simmons averages 8.8 boards and 1.2 steals. He can guard Giannis in this. If they lean on Embiid, the 76ers can beat the Bucks.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Points/G: 109.1
  • Field Goal %: 47.3
  • 3-Point %: 36.2
  • Free Throw %: 74.4
  • Rebounds/G: 45.8
Defense:
  • Points/G: 104.2
  • Field Goal %: 45.4
  • 3-Point %: 35.2
  • Free Throw %: 73.5
  • Rebounds/G: 40

NBA Betting Trends for Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

  • Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Milwaukee is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record
  • Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning home percentage of greater than .600
  • Under is 6-1 in Milwaukee’s last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600
  • Philadelphia is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • 76ers are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 home games versus a team with a road winning % greater than .600
  • Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on a Wednesday
  • Over is 4-0 in 76ers last 4 home games

Bucks vs 76ers Final NBA Betting Analysis

Philadelphia should have a tough time beating Milwaukee on Wednesday. Although the line has the 76ers as a slight favorite, the Bucks should offer favorite’s odds before tip-off. Milwaukee has won 19-of-20.

Their lone loss in their last 20 happened last week against the Dallas Mavericks. The Mavericks play excellent defense and are deeper than just Luka Doncic. The problem with Philadelphia is one of chemistry. They don’t have much of it.

Since starting the season going 5-0, they’re 16-10 SU in their last 26. They’re  1-3-1 ATS in their last 5. The team has a solid front line with Tobias Harris and Al Horford joining Embiid. But Ben Simmons shoots worse from the field this season than he did last season. No other guard on the team should scare the Bucks. Back Milwaukee.

NBA Free Pick: Bucks +1