Prior to the start of the playoffs, it is easy to look at the seedings as use that as a gauge as to who will prevail in a series. The reality, though, is it’s not quite as simple as that, and while we don’t often see a #1 or #2 seed fall at the first hurdle, we do sometimes see them have a tougher time than expected in knocking off a lower seed. While a regular season series can be somewhat helpful in predicting the outcome of a playoff series, it should not be fully relied upon. That said, given that these two teams split their 4-game series in the regular season, it is perhaps not surprising to see them tied 1-1. We now head to Minnesota, with the Grizzlies favored by 1 ½ for Game 3 and the point total set at 238. That being said, let’s see how these teams stack up against each other for game three so you can get ready to bet against their NBA Playoffs Odds.
NBA Playoffs Western Conference Game Three – Grizzlies at Minnesota Betting Analysis
NBA Western Conference Series – Game 3: Memphis Grizzlies v Minnesota Timberwolves Match Info
- When: Thursday, April 21 at 7:30 PM EST
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis
- TV: TNT
Why bet on the Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies were arguably one of the best teams in the league in the second half of the season, going on a run that saw them nab the #2 seed in the Western Conference. They went an impressive 30-11 at home, so we expected them to be tough to beat in their own building, so imagine the surprise when they went down 130-117 in Game 1 versus the Timberwolves. They bounced back with a rousing performance in Game 2, winning that one 124-96. The wake-up call seemed to work but will that carry over to the road. Where Memphis went 26-15 on the season. The Grizzlies are an impressive 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games coming after a day’s rest. In their last 11 games in Round 1 of the playoffs, the OVER has hit 10 times.
Why bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves
In the two games that the Timberwolves had at home versus the Grizzlies in the regular season, they won both times. While they would love to take Game 3 and 4 at home, they would realistically probably settle for the split that would continue to give them home court advantage. While they were a game below .500 in the regular season on the road, the Timberwolves were a respectable 26-15 in their own building. Over the last 20 games at home, they put together 15 wins, so the Timberwolves are not going to be an easy out by any stretch of the imagination. In terms of the point spread, this is a team that has made a habit pf bouncing back after a double-digit loss, going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 when that happens. The OVER has hit in the last 5 games that the T-Wolves have played on a day’s rest.
Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
As tight as this series was in the regular season, and the Grizzlies inability to get the job done on 2 attempts on the road, I think that changes in Game 3. I like Memphis to win a close one, but I think the wager we should all be looking at is the OVER.
Pick: Memphis Grizzlies 128 Minnesota Timberwolves 120