Florida State vs Notre Dame NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Pick

Written by on November 9, 2018

As it stands at the moment, there is little room for argument when talking about the top 4 teams in the nation. The playoffs committee and the general public are very much in agreement about who the best 4 teams in the nation are, but that is something that could very well change in the next month or so.


The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are currently in the position to become the first team outside of the Power 5 to make it into the playoffs, but will that still be the same once we get past the Conference Championship Games? Will and unbeaten Irish team be put ahead of a 1-loss Power 5 conference winner? For example, if Georgia goes on and beat Alabama in the SEC title game, do we really see Notre Dame getting in ahead of either the Bulldogs or the Crimson Tide? All the Irish can do at this point is keep on winning and let the chips fall where they may. Notre Dame is in as a 16 ½ point favorite, with the point total set at 50.


Florida State vs Notre Dame NCAA Football Week 11 Spread & Pick


  • When: Saturday, November 10 at 7:30 PM EST
  • Where: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend
  • TV: NBC
  • Radio: TuneIn
  • Live Stream: NBC Sports Live
  • NCAA Football Week 11 Spread: Notre Dame -16.5 (Total 50)


Ole Miss vs Texas A&M NCAA Football Week 11 Betting Preview


Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: -3°C/27°F
  • Humidity: 67%
  • Precipitation: 3%
  • Cloud Cover: 43%
  • Wind: 4 mph SW
  • Stadium Type: Open


Why bet on the Florida State Seminoles?

We all knew that this was likely to be a tough year for the Seminoles given that they are in a transition phase under new head coach Willie Taggart. It has become clear very quickly that the new coach has a bit of a job on his hands, as this Seminoles team is pretty far removed from the powerhouse program that they were just a few short years ago.


The true indication of how much work needs to be done was seen a couple of weeks ago in a 59-10 loss to Clemson at home. That was the most points that the Seminoles had ever given up at home, but it also showed the gap between them and the best team in the conference. Florida State has now lost 2 in a row and 30 of their last 4 games and is now just 3-6 ATS on the season.


Why bet on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish?

This is a game that the Irish should win to keep their playoff hopes alive and well, but they will also be aware that they have lost 4 of the last 5 times when Florida State came to town. This is not the same Seminoles team from back then, but those trends very often have a way of coming back to haunt the better team.


Florida State vs Notre Dame is one of the best NCAA Football Week 11 games.


Offensively, the Irish and leaps and bounds ahead of their opponent this weekend, outscoring them by an average of 10 PPG. The problem that Notre Dame has all too often had this season is playing down to the level of the opposition, which can be seen in tight wins over the likes of Ball State, Vanderbilt, and Pitt. Still, Notre Dame has still covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games.


Latest Florida State vs Notre Dame NCAA Football Week 11 Betting Trends

  • Florida State is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • Florida State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State’s last 6 games on the road
  • Notre Dame is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame’s last 7 games at home


Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

The Irish have a point to make to the playoff committee and limited time remaining to make it. I like them to get the win here, and I also like them to cover the spread.


Score: Florida State Seminoles 17 – Notre Dame Fighting Irish 36