Fresno State vs Boise State 2018 MWC Championship Betting Preview.

Fresno State vs Boise State 2018 MWC Championship Betting Preview

Written by on November 29, 2018

College football fans are in for a treat this coming Friday and Saturday, as we are about to head into Championship Weekend, where we will learn which 4 teams will be in the playoffs this season. With that in mind, it’s easy to get caught up in the playoff hype ands focus solely on the Power 5 Conference games. There is certainly nothing wrong with doing that, but it might just mean that you miss out on some other very good match-ups that are on tap for this weekend.


One of those games is the Mountain West Conference Championship Game, where we will see the Boise State Broncos try to defend their title on home soil against the Fresno State Bulldogs. This will be the second time that these two have met this season, with the Broncos winning last time out. Can Boise State repeat their victory from that last meeting or will the Bulldogs get revenge when it matters most? The Broncos are in as a 3-point favorite, with the point total set at 53.


Fresno State vs Boise State 2018 MWC Championship Betting Preview


  • When: Saturday, December 1 at 7:45 PM EST
  • Where: Albertsons Stadium, Boise
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: TuneIn
  • Live Stream: WatchESPN
  • 2018 MWC Championship Betting Odds: Boise State -3 (Total 53)


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Weather Forecast

  • Snow Showers: -1°C/30°F
  • Humidity: 89%
  • Precipitation: 41%
  • Cloud Cover: 75%
  • Wind: 5 mph NW
  • Stadium Type: Open


Why bet on the Fresno State Bulldogs?

The Bulldogs are coming into this one with the odds seemingly stacked against them. They are coming off to a loss to the Broncos just a few weeks ago and are now being asked to have another go at Boise State in their own building, which includes that iconic blue turf. Over the course of the last 10 games, the Bulldogs have lost just once, that one being a 24-17 defeat at the hands of the Broncos, with that one coming on the road as a 2 ½ point favorite.


Fresno State have been solid away from home this year, winning 4 of their 6 games in hostile territory. As the underdog this season, the Bulldogs are a perfect 6-0 ATS, which includes being 3-0 ATS as the road dog. That said, they are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in Boise.


Team Stats

  • Average Score For: 36.25
  • Total Yards: 431.41
  • Rush Yards: 148.58
  • Passing Yards: 282.83
  • Average Score Against: 13.50
  • Total Yards: 322.91
  • Rush Yards: 121.83
  • Passing Yards: 201.08


Why bet on the Boise State Broncos?

The Broncos are coming into this one on a fine streak of form having won 7 in a row, which includes the earlier win over Fresno State. Boise State have turned their stadium into something of a fortress, winning 10 of their last 11 games on that blue turf. They are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games against Fresno State, but have covered just once in their last 5 meetings versus the Bulldogs, although that one was their meeting this season.


Fresno State vs Boise State should be a close one.


While the Broncos have long been known as an offensive minded football team, things tend to tighten up when they face the Bulldogs, with 5 of their last 6 homes games versus Fresno State going UNDER. 4 of the last 5 home games that the Broncos have played this season have also gone UNDER.


Team Stats

  • Average Score For: 37.00
  • Total Yards: 468.67
  • Rush Yards: 162.75
  • Passing Yards: 305.92
  • Average Score Against: 22.33
  • Total Yards: 361.58
  • Rush Yards: 123.33
  • Passing Yards: 238.25


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Fresno State vs Boise State 2018 MWC Championship Game Betting Trends

  • Fresno State is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games
  • Fresno State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Fresno State’s last 8 games
  • Boise State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State’s last 5 games


Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Fresno State vs Boise State

The Bulldogs are definitely up against it on Saturday, but I have a feeling that they are going to pull this one out. It is incredibly tough to beat the same team twice in a single season, so let’s take Fresno State and the UNDER.


Score: Fresno State Bulldogs 27 – Boise State Broncos 24