Iowa at Purdue NCAA Football Week 10 Spread & Pick
Freshman Spotlight: Spencer Petras“The football culture here is unmatched from anything I saw anywhere in the country. That is something any football player looks for — that strong culture and we definitely have it here.”#Hawkeyes https://t.co/ypmYqLRaM3 pic.twitter.com/LZWq4ePQEa— Hawkeye Football (@HawkeyeFootball) 1 de noviembre de 2018
- When: Saturday, 3:30 PM ET
- Where: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Ind.
- TV: ESPN2
- Live Stream: WatchESPN
- Radio: TuneIn
- NCAA Football Week 10 Spread: Purdue -2.5 (Total 51)
- Mostly Cloudy: 10°C/50°F
- Humidity: 68%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Cloud Cover: 64%
- Wind: 9 mph S
- Stadium Type: Open
Last SeasonIowa lost at home to Purdue in 2017, 24-15. Elijah Sindelar threw for 229 yards and a career-high three touchdown passes for the Boilers. Anthony Mahoungou had 135 yards receiving, catching two of those Sindelar TD receptions in the opening 3:01 of the second half for the Boilermakers. Purdue outscored Iowa 14-0 in the third quarter. Purdue had just 294 yards, but it held the Hawkeyes to 258. The Hawkeyes had won the past four in the series.
Purdue holds a 47-38-3 advantage in the series that began with a 16-0 Iowa win in 1910. Iowa has won on its last four visits to Purdue. The Hawkeyes last loss at Purdue was in 2007. Iowa has won nine of the last 12, and 21 of the last 29 meetings. Iowa is 17-27-1 in games played in West Lafayette.
Why Bet on Iowa?The Hawkeyes lost 30-24 at Penn State last week. Iowa trailed 27-17 entering the fourth quarter before the defense jumpstarted the rally. On second-and-9 from the 10, sophomore Geno Stone intercepted a Trace McSorely pass and returned it 24 yards for a touchdown, making the score 27-24. Iowa had a couple of chances to take the lead after a PSU field goal but couldn’t cash in.
The Hawkeyes finished with a 350-312 advantage in total offense, including 135 rushing yards. Nate Stanley finished 18-of-49 for 205 yards but threw two interceptions. Mekhi Sargent led Iowa’s rushing attack with 91 yards on 16 attempts. Iowa ran 88 plays (compared to 64 for Penn State) and had a 35:18 to 24:42 advantage in time of possession. Iowa finished 7-of-20 on third down.
Stanley has 16 touchdown passes this season, second in the Big Ten. He has 42 career touchdowns passes, fifth all-time in program history. He is one shy of tying Matt Sherman for fourth all-time. He is 86 yards shy of entering Iowa’s all-time top 10 in passing yards.
Iowa scored 40 points or more in its first two road games and averages 38.0 points per game in three road contests (2-1). The Hawkeyes put up 48 points at Minnesota Week 5 and 42 points at Indiana Week 6. The 40-plus points scored at Minnesota and Indiana marked the first time in program history Iowa has scored 40 points or more in consecutive road Big Ten games in the same season.
The Hawkeyes rank second in the Big Ten in scoring defense (16.1), rushing defense (84.4), passing defense (180.5), and total defense (264.9). The Hawkeyes are the only team to rank in the top two in all four categories.
Why Bet on Purdue?The Boilers started 0-3 but are 4-1 since. However, they come off a 23-13 loss at Michigan State. MSU’s Mike Panasiuk blocked a field goal with 3:42 remaining, and Jalen Nailor broke free for a 48-yard touchdown reception to put the Spartans up 23-13 with 1:58 to play. David Blough threw for 277 yards for Purdue, but he was intercepted three times, including once while the Boilermakers were in field goal range in the fourth quarter.
When possessing the ball inside the opponent’s 25, Purdue is converting the drive into points 92 percent of the time (34 of 37 – 21 touchdowns, 13 field goals), a figure that ranks 18th nationally and fourth in the Big Ten. Conversely, when the opposing team has penetrated inside the Boilers’ 25-yard line, they are converting at a rate of merely 72 percent (21 of 29 – 12 touchdowns, nine field goals), a mark that ranks 11th nationally and tops the B1G.
Purdue’s most exciting player is true freshman WR Rondale Moore. He already has five 100-yard receiving games. He needs merely two more games with 100 or more yards receiving to tie Steve Griffin (1984) and John Standeford (2002) for the most in a season at Purdue.
The Boilermakers are hosting a ranked opponent for the third time this season (also No. 23 Boston College and No. 2 Ohio State). This year marks the first since 2006 that three top 25 teams have traveled to West Lafayette (No. 16 Oregon, No. 6 Penn State, and No. 25 Minnesota). Having defeated top 25-ranked foes Boston College and Ohio State this year, Purdue is looking to knock off three ranked opponents in the same year for the first time since beating No. 20 Wake Forest 16-10, No. 14 Wisconsin 26-23 and No. 10 Iowa 27-14 in 2003. The Boilers’ triumph over the Buckeyes was the first over the second-ranked team in the nation since upsetting No. 2 Ohio State 28-23 on Oct. 6, 1984, and the fifth time in school history to knock off a school in that slot.
Iowa at Purdue NCAA Football Week 10 Betting Trends
- Hawkeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Purdue
- Road team is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings
- Iowa is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa’s last 6 games
- Purdue is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue’s last 7 games when playing Iowa