Kentucky vs Louisville NCAA Football Week 13 Spread & Analysis

No team has been as unimpressive this season as the Louisville Cardinals. The Cardinals have been so awful that the university rid itself of coach Bobby Petrino before Thanksgiving. Can Louisville salvage one of the worst seasons its ever had by beating #15 Kentucky? Will Louisville even hang with the Wildcats?

Kentucky vs Louisville NCAA Football Week 13 Spread & Analysis

Start your Thanksgiving weekend off right and get hype for Saturday night! #GetUP pic.twitter.com/Qh2vAl7zvP

— Kentucky Football (@UKFootball) November 22, 2018

• When: Saturday, Nov. 24 at 7:00 pm ET
• Where: Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY
• TV: ESPN 2
• Radio: Kentucky / Louisville
• Live Stream: WatchESPN
• ATS Odds: Kentucky -17 (-110)
• Over/Under Total Odds: 52 (-110)

Weather Forecast

• Clear:  11^°C/51^°F
• Humidity: 73%
• Precipitation: 6%
• Wind: 6 mph SW
• Cloud Cover: 9%
• Type of Stadium: Open

Why #15 Kentucky is a good bet at -17?

Kentucky’s been one of the more consistent teams in the ridiculously tough SEC this season. The Wildcats have gone 8-3 overall and 5-3 in the conference.

Even versus Georgia, Kentucky played well for a while. Georgia eventually beat the Wildcats 34-17, but Kentucky kept at it. Kentucky’s too good for Louisville to keep this one close. The Wildcats will dominate.

Team Statistics

Offense:

• Average Score For: 23.9
• Total Yards: 347.9
• Pass Yards: 156.1
• Rush Yards: 191.8

Defense:

• Average Score Against: 16.8
• Total Yards: 329
• Pass Yards: 190.6
• Rush Yards: 138.4

Why Louisville is a good bet at +17?

Every team outside of Indiana State and Western Kentucky have dominated the Louisville Cardinals. But, this Saturday things could be different because while Louisville hasn’t come close to playing a decent game since September, the Kentucky Wildcats are the Cardinals’ top rival.

Louisville hates losing to Kentucky. Emotion alone won’t lead to a victory. Emotion and hard work will help the Cardinals win against the spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:

• Average Score For: 20.6
• Total Yards: 357.9
• Pass Yards: 223.1
• Rush Yards: 134.8

Defense:

• Average Score Against: 43
• Total Yards: 474.5
• Pass Yards: 201.3
• Rush Yards: 273.2

NCAA Football Betting Trends for Kentucky vs Louisville

• Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games
• Kentucky is 8-3 SU in the last 11 games
• The total went UNDER in 6 of Kentucky’s last 8 games
• Louisville is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games
• Louisville is 0-5 SU in the last 5 games
• The total went OVER in 6 of Louisville’s last 7 games

Kentucky vs Louisville Final Betting Analysis:

Louisville’s a horrendous 1-10 against the spread this season. The Cardinals have been one of the worst college football teams playing in a Big 5 Conference in modern day. No, seriously.

In Louisville’s last 3 games, Clemson beat them 77-16, Syracuse dominated them 54-23, and NC State racked them 52-10. Even Wake Forest beat them by 20, laying 56 onto the Cardinals in a 56-35 win.

Kentucky’s a solid SEC squad. Kentucky’s defense could shut out the Cardinals on Nov. 24. The Wildcats win and cover.

NCAA Football Week 13 Pick: Kentucky -17