Pittsburgh at UCF NCAA Football Week 5 Spread & Pick

Pittsburgh at UCF NCAA Football Week 5 Spread & Pick

Written by on September 27, 2018

#14 Central Florida hosts Pittsburgh with the idea of maintaining their fantastic winning streak that started last season. Can Central Florida not only beat the Pittsburgh Panthers but also cover the spread as a close to -14 favorite? Check out our analysis and college football odds when Pitt battles UCF!

Pittsburgh at UCF NCAA Football Week 5 Spread & Pick

When: Saturday, Sep. 29 at 3:30 pm ET Where: Spectrum Stadium, Orlando, FL TV: ESPNU Radio: Pittsburgh / Central Florida Live Stream: WatchESPN ATS Odds: UCF -13.5 (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: 65 (-110)

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Cloudy: 32°C/89°F
  • Humidity: 56%
  • Precipitation: 15%
  • Wind: 11 mph E
  • Cloud Cover: 64%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Pittsburgh is a good bet at +13.5?

Pittsburgh’s only bad performance this season was a 6-51 loss to top 10 ranked Penn State on Sep. 8. In Pitts’ other two battles versus Big 5 Conference teams, the Panthers played well. Pitt beat Georgia Tech straight up 24-19 as a +3 home dog. Then, in their last, the Panthers lost 35-38 to ACC Coastal Division rival North Carolina on the road. Pittsburgh’s not a bad ACC team, which can stay competitive with other Big 5 Conference squads. They should hang with an AAC team like UCF.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 24.5
  • Total Yards: 361
  • Pass Yards: 148.8
  • Rush Yards: 212.2
  • Average Score Against: 28.8
  • Total Yards: 396.2
  • Pass Yards: 205.2
  • Rush Yards: 191

Why #14 UCF is a good bet at -13.5?

Is UCF a safe bet NCAA Football Week 5? Counting last season, the UCF Knights have won 16 in a row. UCF’s outscored their 3 opponents this season, UConn, Sacramento State, and FAU, a combined 150 to 53. Central Florida’s defense allows less than 18 points while the offense averages 50. Unless Pittsburgh can score with Central Florida, the Knights should easily cover a spread that amounts to a couple of TDs and a couple of extra points.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 50
  • Total Yards: 587.7
  • Pass Yards: 304
  • Rush Yards: 283.7
  • Average Score Against: 17.7
  • Total Yards: 396.7
  • Pass Yards: 157.7
  • Rush Yards: 239

NCAA Football Week 5 Betting Trends for Pittsburgh at UCF

  • Pittsburgh is 2-3-2 ATS in the last 7 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in the last 7 games on the road
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games on the road
  • Central Florida is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Central Florida is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 6 of Central Florida’s last 8 games

Pittsburgh at UCF Final NCAA Football Betting Analysis

These two haven’t faced each other since 2006. Back then, Pittsburgh had the better team, punishing UCF 52-7. That’s not the case anymore. Central Florida’s beaten every team they’ve faced this season. Although none of those teams were as good as Pittsburgh, the Knights scored 56 points against two of them while laying off the third, Sacramento State, after running out to a 38-0 lead. UCF should score close to 50 or over 50 against Pittsburgh. Panthers will also put up points. The spread’s not out of control, though, which is why the Knights are the play. NCAA Football Week 4 Pick: UCF -13.5
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