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SEC Championship Odds & Expert Pick: Georgia vs. Auburn

SEC Championship Odds & Expert Pick: Georgia vs. Auburn

Written by on November 28, 2017

NCAA Football Betting News
The college football playoff committee was put in place to help remove the controversy and drama that seemed to come up every year at the end of the season. Thus far, the new playoff system has worked like a charm, but it could really be put to the test this year, as the outcomes of several championship games could make things very interesting indeed. One of the games that may well have an impact on the playoff set-up is the SEC Championship game, which will see the Georgia Bulldogs and Auburn Tigers meet up for the second time in a few weeks with the Tigers favored by the SEC Championship odds. A win for the Bulldogs would almost certainly mean that they would be part of the final four, but an Auburn win would create an interesting conversation. Can a 2-loss champion still be considered a playoff team, or would a Tigers win open the door for another team currently sitting outside the top 4? We won’t know the answers to these questions until the playoff committee comes out with their final rankings, but for now, let’s focus on this game, where the Tigers are 2 ½ point favorite, with the point total set at 49.

SEC Championship Odds & Expert Pick: Georgia vs. Auburn

  • When: Saturday, December 2 at 4 PM EST
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: 750 WSB (Georgia) / 94.3 FM (Auburn)
  • Live Stream: Watch ESPN
  • SEC Championship Odds: Auburn -2.5 (Over/Under at 49)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 17°C/63°F
  • Humidity: 60%
  • Precipitation: 7%
  • Cloud Cover: 44%
  • Wind: 5 mph N
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

Top NCAAF Betting Picks for Week 14

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Record: Georgia Bulldogs lead 7-3
  • Score: Georgia Bulldogs 28.40 / Auburn Tigers 20.30
  • Rush Yards: Georgia Bulldogs 171.20 / Auburn Tigers 171.20
  • Pass Attempts: Georgia Bulldogs 25.90 / Auburn Tigers 24.90
  • Completion Percentage: Georgia Bulldogs 61.39 / Auburn Tigers 58.63
  • Passing Yards: Georgia Bulldogs 212.00 / Auburn Tigers 162.50
  • Total Yards: Georgia Bulldogs 383.2 / Auburn Tigers 333.7
  • Turnovers: Georgia Bulldogs 0.60 / Auburn Tigers 1.60

Why bet on the Georgia Bulldogs?

There is no denying that Kirby Smart has put together a very good team in his second year on the job in Athens, but is this a group that is really ready for prime time? The general feeling is that this team is still a year away from being something really special, but you always have a chance to win when you have a running game that is, at times unstoppable. The Bulldogs also have one of the best defensive units in the nation, and the only time that they were really found to be lacking this season was in their 40-17 loss to Auburn. In fairness, there was a lot of blame to go around in that game, as Georgia committed too many mistakes and took way too many undisciplined penalties. Look for them to be better this time around, as they have made it very clear that they wanted another shot at the Tigers. That previous loss aside, Georgia is a solid 9-3 SU in its last 12 against the Tigers, and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 against them.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 35.50
  • Total Yards: 434.67
  • Rush Yards: 265.67
  • Passing Yards: 169.00
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 13.75
  • Total Yards: 271.92
  • Rush Yards: 112.50
  • Passing Yards: 159.42

Why bet on the Auburn Tigers?

The Tigers season looked to be dead and buried when they took their second loss of the season to the LSU Tigers a few weeks back, but they have been about as close to perfect as it gets since taking that loss. They have reeled off 5-straight wins, including victories against a pair of #1 ranked teams. We already know about their win over Georgia, but their biggest victory of the season came last week in the Iron Bowl game versus Alabama, which the Tigers dominated in a 26-14 win. Auburn is favored by the SEC Championship Game Lines. You need to wonder, though, if that win came at a price, as RB Kerryon Johnson was taken out of the game with a shoulder injury. He is listed as probable for this weekend, but even if he can go, how effective will he really be? While the total has gone over in 7 of Auburn’s last 9 games, it has been the UNDER that has hit in 5 of the last 7 meetings between Auburn and Georgia.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 36.67
  • Total Yards: 470.25
  • Rush Yards: 237.67
  • Passing Yards: 232.58
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 16.42
  • Total Yards: 309.00
  • Rush Yards: 126.00
  • Passing Yards: 183.00

Latest SEC Championship Odds Trends

  • Georgia is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
  • Georgia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia’s last 7 games
  • Auburn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Georgia
  • Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Auburn’s last 9 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

I believe that this one is going to be a whole lot closer than the first meeting of the season between these two, and I think that Georgia is going to defy the SEC Championship odds, with the point total going UNDER. Score: Georgia Bulldogs 24 – Auburn Tigers 21
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