Analyzing The Smart Trio Of Week 6 Picks For The College Football Weekend
Boise State -17 at New MexicoWhen: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 9:00 PM ET
Where: University Stadium
The unbeaten Boise State Broncos are averaging a stellar 33.8 points per game, but the New Mexico Lobos actually averages five more points per game than their rivals in this matchup. The difference in this contest will be defense. The Broncos are limiting their opponents to just 18.0 points per game while the Lobos give up an overly generous 32.8 points per contest.
Boise State is 4-1 ATS in their last five road games while New Mexico has gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games in the month of October. Not only that, but Boise State is looking for some payback for their humbling home loss against the Lobos last season. Boise State wins and very narrowly covers the college football betting line.
My Pick: Boise State 38 New Mexico 20
Cincinnati -3.5 at UConnWhen: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 11:30 AM ET
Where: Rentschler Field
The Cincinnati Bearcats got smacked around in its 45-20 loss against explosive South Florida last weekend while the UConn Huskies were on the wrong end of a humbling 42-14 smackdown at the hands of mighty Houston.
In this contest, I like Cincinnati to simply outscore a UConn team that is really offensively-challenged in averaging just 19.8 points per game while allowing 26.4 points per game defensively, ironically, the exact same number of points that Cincinnati averages. The Bearcats are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a losing record while UConn has gone 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
My Pick: Cincinnati 27 UConn 20
Oklahoma at Texas +8.5When: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Cotton Bowl
Oklahoma and Texas are both 2-2 coming into this affair, but for me, the value in this contest lies with Texas for one huge reason – the Longhorns are completely and utterly desperate! The Longhorns might be a complete mess defensively as they allow an insane 38.3 points per game, but Oklahoma isn’t much better in giving up an equally disturbing 35.3 points per game.
Oklahoma has compiled an incendiary 7-1 ATS mark in their last eight conference games, but Texas is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings against the Sooners. The Longhorns have won two of the last three meetings including last season as a whopping 16-point underdog no less. I like Texas and the points!
My Pick: Texas 41 Oklahoma 35