Is Baylor a safe bet in Week 4 against Oklahoma?

Week 11 College Football Expert Picks: Baylor At Oklahoma

Written by on November 10, 2016

The struggling 25th-ranked Baylor Bears will look to halt a two-game losing streak when they hit the road to take on the ninth-ranked Oklahoma Sooners in a matchup that I believe is offering collegiate gridiron gaming enthusiasts a ton of value. Now, let’s find out where that value lies as well as the latest betting odds here.

Analyzing The Week 11 College Football Expert Picks: Bears At Sooners

When: Saturday, November 12, 2016 at 12:00 PM ET Where: Memorial Stadium TV: ABC, ESPN2 NCAAF Odds: Oklahoma Sooners -14.5  

Baylor Bears

The Bears (6-2 SU, 2-6 ATS) have lost two consecutive games and got routed in their shocking 62-22 blowout loss to rival TCU last weekend, but I like them bounce back in a big way to cover the spread against ninth-ranked Oklahoma in Week 11. If you don’t know, the Baylor Bears have five wins over ranked teams since the start of the 2014 season. I know quarterback Seth Russell is completing just 55.5 percent of his passes, but he’s also thrown 19 touchdowns and just six interceptions. Russell has some elite talent to work with in wide receiver KD Cannon and the Bears average a jaw-dropping 278.5 yards per contest.

Oklahoma Sooners

The Oklahoma Sooners (7-2 SU, 3-6 ATS) have suffered four home losses since the start of the 2014 season, so it’s not like they can’t be beaten at home. I know gifted quarterback Baker Mayfield is completing an incendiary 71.2 percent of his passes for 2,912 yards with 31 touchdowns and six interceptions, but the Sooners have struggled against good opponents and have won their last six games mostly by beating the likes of teams like Iowa State, Kansas and K-State.

Expert Prediction and Pick

With the Sooners giving up a whopping 31.6 points per game defensively, I believe the Bears will put more than enough points on the board to keep the final score well inside the two-touchdown margin. Baylor has gone 18-8 ATS in their L/26 games against a team with a winning record and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games against the Sooners and I believe they’ve got more than enough offensive firepower to cover the spread in this Week 11 Big 12 battle.

Pick: Baylor +14 Points

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