Bills at Colts NFL Week 7 Lines & Betting Analysis

Bills at Colts NFL Week 7 Lines & Betting Analysis

Written by on October 16, 2018

Indianapolis battles Buffalo in a game between teams with contrasting philosophies. The Bills rely on their defense while the Colts rely on their offense. Will Indianapolis score enough points to cover the spread against defensive-minded Buffalo? See below for our analysis, NFL odds, and a free pick when the Colts host the Bills!

Bills at Colts NFL Week 7 Lines & Betting Analysis

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 8°C/47°F
  • Humidity: 49%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 8 mph NW
  • Cloud Cover: 5%
  • Type of Stadium: Retractable

Why Buffalo Bills are a good bet at +7.5?

Buffalo’s only 2-2 straight up in their last 4. They’re 3-1 against the spread in their last 4, though. Buffalo’s been underappreciated this entire year. They pulled off the amazing moneyline win over Minnesota as a huge +17 dog. They covered in Week 6 in a loss to Houston and they covered when losing by a single point to Tennessee in Week 5. Bills play good enough defense to keep the Colts within a TD and extra point. Leaning on their defense, Buffalo might not win the game, but they can cover the spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 12.7
  • Total Yards: 222.5
  • Pass Yards: 123
  • Rush Yards: 99.5
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 23
  • Total Yards: 311.7
  • Pass Yards: 219.2
  • Rush Yards: 92.5

Why Indianapolis Colts are a good bet at -7.5?

Are the Colts a safe bet for NFL Week 7? Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck has already thrown 16 touchdowns this season.  Luck, who didn’t play at all in 2017, has led Indianapolis to 24 points or more in 3 straight. Colts scored 34 against Houston, 24 against New England, and 34 against the Jets. Sure, Indianapolis failed to win any of the 3 straight up or against the spread, but all 3 opponents have decent enough offenses to score with the Colts. The Bills don’t.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 25.3
  • Total Yards: 369.2
  • Pass Yards: 286
  • Rush Yards:83.2
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 30
  • Total Yards: 386.8
  • Pass Yards: 280
  • Rush Yards: 106.8

Bills at Colts NFL Week 7 Betting Trends 

  • Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 2-5 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games
  • Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
  • Indianapolis is 2-11 SU in the last 13 games
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games

Final NFL Betting Analysis for Bills at Colts

Buffalo rookie starting quarterback Josh Allen won’t play on Sunday. Allen had gone through some growing pains since starting, but he wasn’t the worst quarterback in the league. Now, Buffalo must turn to Nathan Peterman. He might be the worst quarterback in the NFL. After spelling Allen against Houston, Peterman proceeded to go 6-of-12 for 61 yards with a TD pass and 2 interceptions. Even if Buffalo’s defense can hold the Colts to 24 points or less, no way the Bills score enough to cover. Colts should blow out Buffalo on Sunday. NFL Week 7 Pick: Colts -7.5