NFC South leading Tampa Bay can’t afford to take a backward step. The Buccaneers must continue to win or the Saints or Falcons, which are only one to two games behind, will catch Brady and the Bucs. On Sunday, TB travels to Cleveland to take on a Browns team that always plays better at home. Will Tampa get it done? Or will the Browns set the table for Deshaun Watson’s return in NFL Week 13 with a victory? Keep reading for NFL Odds, analysis, and a free pick for Tampa Bay at Cleveland.
NFL Week 12 Betting Preview for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cleveland
Tampa Bay versus Cleveland Odds and Match Info
- When: Sunday, Nov. 27 at 1:00 pm ET
- Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
- TV / Streaming: FOX
- ATS Odds: Buccaneers -3.5
- Money line Odds: Browns +143 / Buccaneers -176
- Over/Under Odds: 43
Why bet on Tampa Bay versus Cleveland?
Tampa heads to Ohio a week after their bye and a couple of weeks after their most impressive win in a while. Facing a scorching Seattle team in Germany, the Buccaneers handled Geno Smith, Kenneth Walker, and the rest of Seattle’s explosive offense in an impressive 21-16 victory.
Tampa didn’t just beat Seattle. They also covered the spread, which means Brady and the Buccaneers head to the Dog Pound with momentum.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 340.5
- Passing Yards: 269.8
- Rushing Yards: 70.7
- Points Scored: 18.3
- Turnovers: 9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 310.0
- Passing Yards: 193.4
- Rushing Yards: 116.6
- Points Scored: 18.0
- Takeaways: 10
Why bet on Cleveland versus Tampa Bay?
Cleveland is on a 2-game losing streak heading into this, but we shouldn’t read too much into either loss. Miami is one of the hottest teams in the league. The Dolphins’ offense is playing like the best unit in the NFL.
The loss to Buffalo in week 11 was by 8 points and Cleveland was a +7.5 underdog. The Browns hung 23 onto the Bills. So if the defense had played better, who knows?
Buffalo and Miami are above Cleveland’s level. If Tampa is above the Browns’ level, it isn’t by much. Cleveland should have a shot in the fourth quarter to win this straight up.
Cleveland Browns Offensive Averages
- Total Yards: 377.9
- Passing Yards: 227.0
- Rushing Yards: 150.9
- Points Scored: 24.0
- Turnovers: 14
Cleveland Browns Defensive Averages
- Total Yards: 349.9
- Passing Yards: 214.8
- Rushing Yards: 135.1
- Points Scored: 26.9
- Takeaways: 8
Buccaneers at Browns Relevant Trends
- Buccaneers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in November
- Tampa Bay is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games
- Under is 5-1 in the Buccaneers’ last 6 games
- Browns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games at home
- Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass
- Over is 4-0-1 in the Browns’ last 5 home games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cleveland Browns Final Betting Prediction
Trends favor neither squad. So if we throw out the trends and look at the facts, one thing stands out, the Browns allow a ridiculous 135.1 rushing yards per game.
In the victory over the Seahawks, Tampa handed the ball to Rachaad White 22 times. White rushed for 105 yards. The Buccaneers rushed for a total of 166 yards.
Now that Tampa has a rushing attack, it should be very difficult for most teams to beat them. Cleveland loses this by more than 4 points.
NFL Week 12 Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5
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