After a slow start that saw them lose three of their first four games, Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons are heating up nicely as they ride the wave of a three-game winning streak heading into NFL Week 10. Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns are struggling mightily and will finish out the season under interim head coach Gregg Williams after seeing former head coach Hue Jackson get fired a couple of weeks ago.
Now, with these two teams heading in polar opposite directions, let’s find out if the Falcons can cover the spread as a slight road favorite.
Falcons at Browns NFL Week 10 Spread & Betting Prediction
- When: Sunday, November 11, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET
- Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio
- TV: FOX
- Live Stream: NFL Live
- NFL Week 10 Odds: Atlanta -4 / Total: 50.5
- Overcast: 4°C/40°F
- Humidity: 49%
- Precipitation: 0%
- Wind: 15 mph SSW
- Cloud Cover: 87%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why Bet On The Atlanta Falcons?
Why should you bet on the Falcons in this contest? There are a bunch of great reasons MYBookie NFL betting enthusiasts. First, the Falcons are definitely playing their best football of the season. Atlanta rolled all over Washington in their 38-14 beatdown of the Skins on Sunday as 4.5-point road underdogs no less.
Matt Ryan passed for 350 yards and four touchdowns while Julio Jones caught seven passes for 121 yards and his first touchdown grab of the season.
“We’re a brotherhood,” said Jones. “We support one another. If anybody scores, I’m trying to be the first one over there. Nobody hates on each other on this team. Everybody loves when other people go out here and excel and make plays.”
Again, the Falcons have bounced back nicely from a tough start.
“The start to the season was not what we were looking for, but we’re halfway through it, we’re 4-4 and we’re in the mix,” veteran quarterback Matt Ryan said.
- Average Score For: 28.50
- Total Yards: 412.12
- Pass Yards: 320
- Rush Yards: 92.12
- Average Score Against: 28.25
- Total Yards: 413
- Pass Yards: 304.25
- Rush Yards: 108.75
Why Bet On The Cleveland Browns?
Why should you bet on the Browns in this contest? Well, to be honest about it, there is absolutely no good reason to.
The Browns have dropped four straight including their 37-21 smackdown defeat against Kansas City this past weekend. Cleveland gave up three TD passes to Chiefs blossoming star Patrick Mahomes and two TD runs to running back Kareem Hunt.
While quarterback Baker Mayfield had a decent game by opassing for 297 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while running back Nick Chubb continued to out a stranglehold on the starting position by rushing for 85 yards and one score on 22 carries.
Mayfield was checked for a concussion but cleared after a questionable hit late in the third quarter.
“I think the rule is if they see me messing with my helmet, they are going to take precaution,” Mayfield said. “When you get hit in the head, your helmet moves around so I am going to shift it so it fits correctly. It is just interesting how it works. I had to come out of the game and take the exam.”
- Average Score For: 21.11
- Total Yards: 347.45
- Pass Yards: 222.89
- Rush Yards: 124.56
- Average Score Against: 27.44
- Total Yards: 423.99
- Pass Yards: 285
- Rush Yards: 138.99
NFL Week 10 Betting Trends for Falcons at Browns
- Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
- Atlanta is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games on the road
- The total went OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games
- Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in the last 6 games
- Cleveland is 2-22-1 SU in the last 25 games
- The total went OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games
Falcons at Browns NFL Betting Prediction
I’m going to get right to it by saying that I can’t believe that Atlanta is just a 4-point road favorite seeing as how they just put 38 points on the board against a very good Washington defense and the Browns just don’t have enough talent or experience to keep pace with the playoff-hopeful Falcons.
Having said all of this, it’s clear to me that Matt Ryan and the Atlanta falcons are the super easy pick in this matchup. The Falcons average a touchdown more per game than Cleveland offensively and I think they’ve got a boatload of motivation to try and keep up with the Saints and Panthers after all three teams made the playoffs last year out of the NFC South and the Saints and Panthers look like they’re on track to do so again.
The Falcons have gone an unblemished 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November and a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. On the flip side of the coin, Cleveland has gone an awful 14-36-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall, 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games and 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games in November. Atlanta wins and covers the chalk as an insanely low road favorite.
NFL Week 10 Pick: Falcons 42 Browns 24