While Derrick Henry powered the feisty Tennessee Titans past Tom Brady and the offensively-challenged New England Patriots in their AFC wild card clash last weekend, the AFC South Super Bowl long shots will have a much more difficult task in trying to get past the top-seeded Baltimore Ravens when both teams meet in their divisional round matchup on Saturday. With Tennessee starring down the barrel of a nearly double digit spread, let’s find out if Henry and the Titans can get it done in consecutive weeks or whether the red-hot Ravens are the pick to take care of business at home.
Titans vs Ravens 2020 NFL Divisional Round Lines, Analysis & Prediction
- When: Saturday January 11, 2020, 8:15 PM ET
- Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
- TV: CBS
- Radio: Tennessee / Baltimore
- Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
- NFL Divisional Round Odds: Baltimore -10 / Total: 47
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Why Bet On Tennessee?
Despite being a double-digit road dog in this matchup, there are some great reasons to believe Tennessee could cover the chalk in this contest. First, the Titans have a powerful rushing attack that ranked third during the regular season and is led by superstar running back Derrick Henry, the league’s rushing leader this season.
Then, there’s the fact that the Titans have a solid offense that put up 25.1 points per game to rank 10th in scoring. The Titans also have a solid defense that is better than their 21st overall ranking as evidenced by the fact that Tennessee finished 12th in points allowed (20.7 ppg).
Last, but not least, Tennessee is 6-3 on the road this season and come into this affair off a confidence-boosting 20-13 road win over New England last weekend.
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Why Bet On Baltimore?
While the ravens are giving up 10 points in this contest, there are a bunch of great reasons to back Baltimore to cover the chalk and advance to the AFC Championship. First, the Ravens rank first in rushing and an identical first in scoring by averaging 33.2 points per contest. The Ravens also have an elite defense that ranks third in points allowed (17.6 ppg).
In addition to that, Baltimore has a virtually unstoppable superstar in dual-threat signal-caller Lamar Jackson. The fleet-footed former Heisman winner has had an absolutely jar-dropping campaign by tossing a league-high 36 touchdowns while setting a new NFL record for rushing yards for a quarterback with a mind-boggling 1,206 yards and an additional seven scores.
Last, but definitely not least, Baltimore hits the postseason as the hottest team in the league, having won 10 straight games to close out the regular season.
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Expert Analysis and Prediction
While there’s no doubt that the elevation of veteran quarterback Ryan Tannehill has transformed the Titans into a now dangerous team that can pass the ball effectively to compliment their powerful rushing attack, I thought New England basically neutralized Tannehill in the second half of their wild card matchup last weekend, not to mention the fact that the Chiefs lead the league in fewest receiving yards allowed by opposing wide receivers.
More importantly, I don’t expect the Titans to have an answer for Lamar Jackson and I don’t see the Titans and Derrick Henry completely having their way on offense against Baltimore’s stout defense. While Tennessee has gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, Baltimore has gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against their AFC counterparts and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games. I’m going with Lamar Jackson and the well-rested Ravens to get it done in this AFC divisional showdown.
NFL Free Pick: Baltimore 31 Tennessee 21
