Maple Leafs vs Lightning NHL Odds & Betting Prediction

Maple Leafs vs Lightning NHL Odds & Betting Prediction

Written by on December 13, 2018

The Toronto Maple Leafs head to Florida to battle the Tampa Bay Lightning in a key matchup in the Atlantic division. Tampa leads the division with a 24-7-1 record. Toronto’s not that far behind with a 21-9-1 record. It’s not too early for Toronto to start closing the gap on their biggest rivals in the Eastern Conference. Will the Maple Leafs get it done or will the Lightning come up big?

Maple Leafs vs Lightning NHL Odds & Betting Prediction

  • When: Thursday, Dec. 13 at 7:30 pm ET
  • Where: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Radio: Toronto / Tampa Bay
  • Live Stream:
  • Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -130
  • Over/Under Total Odds: 7
  • Puck Line Odds: Tampa Bay -1 ½ -190

Why Toronto Maple Leafs are a good bet +110?

The Leafs have been on a tear lately, going 6-2 in their last 8. No win was as impressive as beating tough Carolina in their last. As a -125 road favorite, the Leafs dominated the Hurricanes 4-1.

The reason why the game was so important is because Toronto showed they can step it up on the defensive end when they must. In fact, the Maple Leafs defense has gotten better as the season has continued. With a strong defense, the Leafs should contend for the win on Thursday night.

Team Statistics

  • Goals For: 3.6
  • Shots For: 31.4
  • Power Plays: 25.9%
  • Face-Offs: 51.7%
  • Goals Against: 2.7
  • Shots Against: 33.6
  • Penalty Kills: 80%
  • Shutouts: 2

Why Tampa Bay Lightning are a good bet -124?

Are the Lightning a safe NHL betting pick on Thursday?

Tampa Bay’s impossible to beat at home. The Lightning have a 14-4-0 home record. Not only that, but Tampa Bay’s won 8-of-10. They also bring a fantastic 7-game win streak into this matchup.

3 of the 7 wins were on the road: 5-4 at Florida, 5-1 at New Jersey, and 6-5 at Detroit. Only 2 home win were by a single puck while the other 2 home wins were by 3 pucks or more. Tampa’s on fire right now.

Team Statistics

  • Goals For: 4.0
  • Shots For: 33.1
  • Power Plays: 29.2%
  • Face-Offs: 50.4%
  • Goals Against: 2.8
  • Shots Against: 31.2
  • Penalty Kills: 83%
  • Shutouts: 1

NHL Betting Trends for Maple Leafs vs Lightning

  • Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto’s last 7 games
  • Tampa Bay is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games at home
  • Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Final NHL Betting Analysis

The last time the Lightning and Leafs met, Tampa Bay beat Toronto 4-3. What’s significant about that match is that it happened back in March.

This Toronto Maple Leafs team is a different squad than the one that Tampa faced in the spring. The Lightning are the best team in NHL this season, and they’ve owned the Leafs in recent games. But, Tampa Bay could show some softness after such an incredible run.

Toronto’s the play. Not getting fancy here, just taking the odds on the Maple Leafs to pull off the upset.

NHL Free Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs +110
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