No. 14 Oklahoma vs. West Virginia

No. 14 No. 14 Oklahoma vs. West Virginia vs. West Virginia | 2020 NCAAF Expert Analysis

Written by on November 26, 2020

No. 14 Oklahoma lost its first two Big 12 games this season but the Sooners haven’t lost since and they control their destiny to reach the conference title game yet again. They are on potential upset alert, though, on Saturday at dangerous West Virginia.

How to Bet Oklahoma at West Virginia NCAA Football Odds & TV Info

  • When: Saturday, 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: Mountaineer Field
  • TV: ABC
  • Stream: ESPN app
  • Radio:
  • Opening NCAAF Lines: Oklahoma -11 (total 55)

Last Meeting

In 2019, West Virginia was routed 52-14 at Oklahoma when the Sooners were ranked No. 5 in the nation. Jalen Hurts passed for 316 yards and three touchdowns and rushed for 75 yards and two more scores. He’s now a rookie with the Eagles. Hurts completed 16 of 17 passes, with the incompletion a drop by Drake Stoops. Hurts became the third Oklahoma quarterback to complete at least 90% of his passes, throw for more than 300 yards and throw for at least three touchdowns in a game. OU had 562 yards of offense and is 8-0 vs. WVU since the Mountaineers joined the Big 12 in 2012.

Why Bet on Oklahoma? | 2020 NCAAF Expert Analysis

The Sooners (6-2) trounced rival and ranked Oklahoma State 41-13 last week. Freshman QB Spencer Rattler passed for 301 yards and four touchdowns and ran for another score. Rhamondre Stevenson ran for a career-high 141 yards, and Theo Wease caught two touchdown passes for the Sooners in their fifth consecutive victory. Oklahoma won its sixth straight in the series and extended its November winning streak to 23 dating to 2014. The Sooners’ 90 wins overall against OSU are the second most in FBS history by one program against another (Nebraska has 91 wins vs. Kansas).

Lincoln Riley set the record for most wins in the first four seasons of an OU heading coaching career. He is now 42-8 (.840). Barry Switzer held the previous first-four-year record of 41 wins (1973-76). Oklahoma has now won 23 straight November games (last loss was on Nov. 8, 2014, vs. Baylor) and 26 of its last 27. Riley is 14-0 in November as head coach.

OU has scored at least 28 points in a school-record 60 consecutive games. The next longest streak nationally since at least 1980 is 31 by UCF (2017-19). The Sooners have held each of their last two opponents to a 40% or less pass completion rate (37.5% vs. OSU and 40% vs. Kansas). The last time that occurred was 2003 (allowed 37.4% vs. OSU and 28.6% vs. Texas A&M).

For this one, the Sooners have won 26 of their last 28 true road games and are 15-2 in such contests under Riley. Dating back to the start of the 2012 season, Oklahoma is 43-8 (.843) in regular season games away from home. OU has scored at least 30 points in 44 of those 51 contests.

Oklahoma is 4-0 at WVU and has averaged 53.0 points and 581.3 yards per game in those meetings. It has rushed for 1,029 yards (257.3 average) and passed for 1,296 (324.0 average) in those contests and scored 25 offensive TDs and three defensive TDs (one in 2016 and two in 2018).

Why Bet on West Virginia? | 2020 NCAAF Expert Analysis

WVU is 5-0 at home this year and 0-3 on the road. It has been off since a 24-6 home win over TCU on Nov. 14. TCU finished today with just 295 total yards against West Virginia’s excellent defense, the first time this season it failed to get at least 300 yards of offense. Linebacker Tony Fields II once again led the WVU defense with 14 tackles, one shy of his season high. Exree Loe, starting in place of injured Josh Chandler-Semedo, was credited with 12 stops.

West Virginia got 156 yards on the ground from junior Leddie Brown, and Jarrett Doege tossed a pair of touchdown passes to T.J. Simmons.  Doege also scored from the 1 on a quarterback sneak. The junior completed an efficient 19-of-26 passes for 212 yards – 90 of those going to Simmons on four catches.

Brown now has 897 yards rushing. He’s looking to become West Virginia’s first 1,000-yard rusher since 2017 when the Mountaineers played a 13-game schedule. Brown is ranked No. 4 nationally in rushing yards, No. 8 in touchdowns (11), No. 14 in rushing yards per game (112.1), No. 15 in rushing touchdowns (9), No. 21 in total points (66) and No. 33 in all-purpose yards (135.12).

Doege is ranked No. 6 nationally in completions per game (25.38), No. 11 in passing yards (2,219), No. 21 in passing yards per game (277.4), No. 25 in completion pct. (.659), No. 28 in passing TDs (13) and No. 41 in total offense (268.2.).

West Virginia is ranked No. 1 in the nation in passing defense (161.5), No. 4 in total defense (274.0), No. 11 in interceptions (10), No. 12 in passing efficiency defense (111.66), No. 13 in scoring defense (17.8) and No. 22 in rushing defense (112.5). West Virginia has not allowed more than 200 yards passing in nine of its past 10 games, ranking as the best streak in the Big 12 Conference since WVU joined the league in 2012.

Game Trends
  • Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
  • Sooners are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite.
  • Mountaineers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
  • Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Expert Prediction
  • Oklahoma 35, West Virginia 27

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