English Premier League Betting Analysis & Pick: Arsenal vs. Liverpool

English Premier League Betting Analysis & Pick: Arsenal vs. Liverpool

Written by on December 20, 2017

When things start to go quietly in most of the domestic leagues in Europe, the English Premier League betting action goes into high gear, as there is no such thing as a winter break in that part of the world. The holiday season in the Premier League is often when championships are won and lost, although this season may be a little different given the lead that Manchester City has at the top. The real race now is for the final three spots that are open for the Champions League next season.Getting into that tournament is crucial for the bigger teams, as it means a lot more money in the bank, as well as the ability to convince new players to come and play. Right now, Arsenal is sitting on the outside looking in at the top 4, but they are just one point back of Liverpool in fourth, which makes their meeting on Friday all the more important.Arsenal does not have a good record against the Reds, but really need this one if they are to stay within reach of a coveted Champions League spot, and they come in as the EPL betting odds favorite.

Arsenal vs. Liverpool English Premier League Betting Analysis & Pick

  • When: Friday, December 22, at 2:45 PM EST
  • Where: Emirates Stadium, London
  • Live StreamNBCSN Live
  • English Premier League Betting Odds: Arsenal PK-125 (Total at 3 goals)

Recent Head to Head (Last 5 Games)

  • Liverpool 4 – Arsenal 0
  • Liverpool 3 – Arsenal 1
  • Arsenal 3 – Liverpool 4
  • Liverpool 3 – Arsenal 3
  • Arsenal 0 – Liverpool 0

English Premier League Top Scorers

  • Mohamed Salah (Liverpool): 14
  • Harry Kane (Tottenham): 12
  • Raheem Sterling (Manchester City): 11
  • Sergio Aguero (Manchester City): 10
  • Romelu Lukaku (Manchester United) 10
  • Wayne Rooney (Everton): 10
  • Álvaro Morata (Chelsea): 9
  • Gabriel Jesus (Manchester City): 8
  • Alexandre Lacazette (Arsenal): 8

Why bet on Arsenal?

Arsenal is sitting in 5th place in the Premier League, but they have been grinding out wins of late, relying on late goals to pick up points. It’s a style that is going to catch up with them eventually, and it’s certainly not a method that is going to work against one of the most potent offenses in the league. Arsenal has scored 31 goals this season, but have been struggling to find the net of late, with their latest victory being a 1-0 win over struggling Newcastle last weekend.They have not really been able to find a striker who scores goals week in and week out, and all too often rely on Olivier Giroud coming off the bench to bail them out. Defensively, this is a group that can be shaky at times. They have surrendered 20 goals this year, and while that may not seem like a lot, it’s a whole lot more than what the majority of the top 4 teams have given up. Arsenal has been good at home this season, winning 8 and losing just 1.

Team Statistics

  • Games Played: 18
  • Wins:10
  • Loses: 5
  • Ties: 3
  • Scored Goals: 31
  • Conceded Goals: 20

Why bet on Liverpool?

Liverpool must be one of the most frustrating teams to be a fan of, as they have a definite Jekyll and Hyde persona that is tough to take. When they are at their best, they are an unstoppable attacking force, but when they are bad, they are a goal leaking machine that cannot string two passes together. What they have is a bunch of guys who can hurt you, led by Egyptian striker Mohamed Salah, who has already bagged 14 goals in Premier League play, which makes him the leading scorer.Despite Salah's 14 goals, the English Premier League Betting Odds are against the LiverpoolFirmino and Coutinho can also find the net on the regular basis, so Arsenal cannot afford to simply focus all their attention on Salah in this one. Liverpool has beaten Arsenal in each of their last 3 Premier League meetings, and are unbeaten against them in 5, drawing the other two.

Team Statistics

  • Games Played: 18
  • Wins: 9
  • Loses:2
  • Ties: 7
  • Scored Goals: 38
  • Conceded Goals: 20

Probable Line-Ups


  • 33-P. Čech
  • 18-N. Monreal
  • 6-L. Koscielny
  • 24-H. Bellerín
  • 11-M. Özil
  • 10-J. Wilshere
  • 29-G. Xhaka
  • 17-A. Iwobi
  • 30-A. Maitland-Niles
  • 7-A. Sánchez
  • 9-A. Lacazette


  • 22-S. Mignolet
  • 17-R. Klavan
  • 6-D. Lovren
  • 26-A. Robertson
  • 12-J. Gomez
  • 5-G. Wijnaldum
  • 14-J. Henderson
  • 10-P. Coutinho
  • 21-A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
  • 9-R. Firmino
  • 11-M. Salah

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

This match-up has given us goals in recent years, with the last 4 meetings delivering a total of 21 goals. The most obvious English Premier League betting pick here is the OVER, but I think we might well see a draw in this one.Score: Arsenal 2 – Liverpool 2