Your Guide to the Euro 2024 Quarterfinals: Betting Predictions & Odds Breakdown

Your Guide to the Euro 2024 Quarterfinals: Betting Predictions & Odds Breakdown

The 2024 European Championship in Germany has been so good that it is almost disappointing to see the tournament head into the latter stages.

That is where we are, though, with the quarterfinals set to begin this weekend. If there is a theme developing for this tournament, it is late goals, of which we have seen several over the past couple of weeks, but especially in the Round of 16.


My Analysis

We will get into that in more detail once we break down the 4 games that will be coming our way, as we look to turn the final 8 teams into 4.

Given what has taken place to this point, there are no obvious choices. Yes, the favorites are still alive, but the teams that many people picked as the winners prior to the tournament starting have been less than convincing.

We will keep that in mind as we make our betting picks for the Round of 8, so let’s get to the games.


Spain +165 vs Germany +173

The teams that have been the most entertaining in this tournament are not necessarily the ones we thought we would see.

Spain is very much in that conversation, as they have been an offensive force to this point, scoring 9 goals in their 4 games, while surrendering just once.

Perhaps more importantly, they have been spreading the goals around the entire team, making it tough for opposing defenses to focus on just 1 player.

If you go back beyond this tournament, Spain is now on a 6-game winning streak, with their last defeat coming in qualifying away from home in Scotland.

At this point, they have to be considered the teams to beat at the Euros.

This might well be the matchup that the Germans did not want, but they still have to remember that they have the benefit of home field advantage.

That, though, brings a certain level of pressure, but it’s pressure that good teams should revel in.

Germany topped their group, taking 7 points from 9, although they left it late to tie it up with Switzerland to land that top spot.

They then had to work very hard to break down a stubborn Denmark defense for a 2-0 win in the Round of 16.

Given the history of these two nations, it’s no real surprise that they have met a lot over the years.

In the last 5 matchups, there have been 3 ties, so little to separate the two. I am taking Spain to edge it.

EURO Cup Pick: Spain 1-0 Germany
Draw: +216 // Total O/U: 2.5
When: Friday, July 5, 12 PM EST

Portugal +232 vs France +132

Winning a tournament takes skill, a team effort, and some modicum of luck along the way. Given what went down in the Round of 16.

Portugal may well have used up all their luck in a single game.

After looking very good though their opening 2 games in the group stage, Portugal stumbled and fell, losing 2-0 to Georgia in what was essentially a meaningless game for them given that they had already locked up top spot.

Portugal looked edgy at times in their Round of 16 game against Slovenia, and gave up a chance to win it after Ronaldo missed a penalty in extra time.

They then needed to be bailed out by their goalkeeper late before eventually going through in a penalty shootout.

One of the biggest surprises to this point is how lackluster France has looked, especially in the attacking zone.

Yes, some of their issues stem from an injury to Kylian Mbappé, but this squad should still be more than good enough to survive for a couple of games without their best player.

They have won 3 of their 4 games to this point by a score of 1-0, while scoring a late one to salvage a 1-1 draw against Poland in their final group stage game.

I’m sure that many fans will still consider the French the favorites to win it all, but their struggles may have raised some serious question marks.

I honestly don’t know where to go with this one, but since I have to make a pick, I’ll take France in a close one.

EURO Cup Pick: Portugal 0-1 France
Draw: +206 // Total O/U: 2.5
When: Friday, July 5, 3 PM EST


England +120 vs Switzerland +270

If you want to talk about tournament favorites not performing well, you need to talk about England.

This is a team that has arguably the strongest squad in the tournament, especially on the attacking side of things, yet their coach seems intent on playing cagey, defensive football that very often has fans of England sweating out every game all the way to the end.

That was no clearer than in the Round of 16 against Slovakia, when they needed an injury time goal to take the game to extra-time, which they then won with a Harry Kane header.

The opposition is only going to get tougher from this point forward, but can England change their style to adapt to those potential upcoming challenges?

Heading into this tournament, the feeling was that this was the last chance for this generation of Swiss players.

They have very much risen to the challenge and have looked very good throughout.

Switzerland were a little unlucky not to win their group, giving up a late goal to Germany in their final game to fall to 2nd.

That may have actually been a blessing in disguise, as it moved them into the part of the bracket that now looks to be more manageable.

The Swiss always looked to be in control in their 2-0 win over Italy in the Round of 16 and are going to be very tough to beat here, especially if they score first.

I am going with the surprise and taking the Swiss to pull the upset.

EURO Cup Pick: England 1-2 Switzerland
Draw: +197 // Total O/U: 2.5
When: Saturday, July 6, 12 PM EST

Netherlands -173 vs Turkey +470

The two teams that make it to the final will end up playing 7 games in a very short period of time. Asking any team to be consistently good through all of that is a bit of a stretch.

For some, it’s all about staying alive and building some momentum, which is what we are seeing from the Netherlands right now.

They were certainly a little up and down in the group stage games, but they may just have made a statement in the Round of 16 with an outstanding performance over Romania in a 3-0 win.

It will be interesting to see if the nature of that win drives them to even better things.

Speaking of survival, Turkey has made it to this point after winning an absolute thriller against Austria in what may have been the game of the tournament to this point.

Turkey scored early and increased their lead in the second half before weathering a storm from the Austrians, who were only able to claw one goal back.

You cannot knock the fight of this Turkey team, but their defensive frailties may end up being an issue.

I expect Turkey to put up another great fight, but I think their run comes to an end this weekend.

EURO Cup Pick: Netherlands 2-1 Turkey
Draw: +300 // Total O/U: 2.5
When: Saturday, July 6, 3 PM EST

UEFA EURO Odds to Win

  • England +360
  • Spain +410
  • France +460
  • Germany +470
  • Netherlands +720
  • Portugal +900
  • Switzerland +1425
  • Türkiye +3500

UEFA Euro Betting Center

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