2024 Mexican Open Odds Analysis, Betting Favorites, and Predictions

2024 Mexican Open Odds Analysis, Betting Favorites, and Predictions

The Abierto Mexicano Telcel, or the Mexican Open, is an ATP 500 outdoor hard courts tournament that takes place at the Arena GNP Seguros in Acapulco, Mexico from February 26 to March 2.

It’s the 31st edition of the event and features a relatively deep field with eight of the top-15 players in the world in the draw, including defending champion Alex de Minaur. 

Let’s take a closer look at the upcoming 2024 Mexican Open tournament so you can bet against ATP betting odds, consider backing one of the players listed to lift the hardware.


2024 Mexican Open Odds, Picks, and Betting Analysis | MyBookie ATP Betting Preview of the Tennis Tournament

2024 Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC | 31st edition of the Mexican Open
ATP 500 tournament
Monday, February 26th – Saturday, March 2nd, 2024
Arena GNP Seguros, Acapulco, Mexico
2023 ATP Winner: Alex De Minaur


Mexican Open Past Winners

Thomas Muster won the Mexican Open in each of the first four years when it was an ATP 250 event. More recent winners include de Minaur (2023), Rafael Nadal, who won for the fourth time in 2022, Alexander Zverev (2021), and Nick Kyrgios (2019). Stefanos Tsitsipas, Tommy Paul, and Taylor Fritz, all of whom are in this year’s draw, have finished as runners-up at the Mexican Open.


Draw Breakdown

There’s no byes in the 32-player tournament, meaning each of the top seeds have to play first-round matches. Zverev, the top seed in the tournament and a former champion, begins the tournament against fellow German Daniel Altmaier. Also in his quarter of the bracket are Miomir Kecmanovic, Nuno Borges, and Paul. Tsitsipas and de Minaur are in the other quarter of the top half of the bracket, setting up some intriguing potential quarter- and semi-final matches.

Holger Rune is the second seed in the tournament and begins his journey to the final against a qualifier. He headlines the other half of the bracket along with Fritz, Frances Tiafoe, Ben Shelton, Casper Ruud, and Cameron Norrie.


Abierto Mexicano Top 3 Seeds

Alexander Zverev

Zverev, despite off court distractions, has had a solid start to the 2024 season. The Olympic gold medalist reached the semi-final of the Australian Open and held a two-set lead over Daniil Medvedev before losing in five sets. He previously beat top-20 players Norrie and Carlos Alcaraz. He recently lost to Jordan Thompson in the semi-finals of the Los Cabos Open.

Zverev is 2-0 in two career matches against Altmaier and should have a relatively easy path to at least the quarter-finals, assuming he plays to his abilities. He’s 11-13 this season and 33-16 on outdoor hard courts going back to the start of the 2023 season.


Holger Rune

Things haven’t gone as well for Rune. If there’s going to be a major first-round upset it’ll probably be him losing to a qualifier. The 20-year-old Dane has had a frustrating start to his season and recently re-hired Patrick Mouratoglou as his coach after firing him following last year’s US Open. He’s coming off of a Round of 16 loss to Alexander Shevchenko in ATP Rotterdam and lost in the semi-final of the Open Sud de France. He lost in the second round of the Australian Open.

He’s 8-4 this season, including 5-2 on outdoor hard courts and was 10-10 on the surface last year. He’s a passionate player who could go far if he commits himself, but could easily lose in the first round. Bet with caution.


Alex de Minaur

De Minaur, the defending champion, has had an up-and-down start to his season, but is looking more poised and better than he did last year. He reached the fourth round at the Australian Open, lost to Jannik Sinner in the final at ATP Rotterdam, and followed that up with a first-round exit at the Los Cabos Open. He takes on Taro Daniel in the first round at the Mexican Open.


Mexican Open Final Betting Prediction

As good as Zverev is, there’s definitely some challenges for him in his half of the bracket, most notably Paul, who won his second title at the Dallas Open earlier this month and then reached the final at the Delray Beach Open. He’s a sneaky pick to reach the final. Ruud or Shelton are great longshot picks in the other half of the bracket. Ruud is coming off of a finals loss in Los Cabos.

2024 Mexican Open
ATP Pick: Ruud def. Paul | Odds for ATP MyBookie Betting Lines for the Tournament


Next 2024 Tennis Event

2024 Grand Prix Hassan II Odds

Player Odds
Laslo Djere +550
Matteo Berrettini +650
Stan Wawrinka +850
Sebastian Ofner +900
Facundo Diaz Acosta +1000
Lorenzo Sonego +1000
Dan Evans +1100
Pavel Kotov +1200
Flavio Cobolli +1800
Arthur Rinderknech +1800

ATP Grand Prix Hassan II Odds


Upcoming 2024 ATP Events

BNP Paribas Open | March 6 – March 18

Miami Open presented by Itau | March 19 – April 1

Grand Prix Hassan II | March 29 – April 8

Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men’s Clay Court Championship | March 29 – April 8

Millennium Estoril Open | March 29 – April 8

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ATP Tennis Betting Odds
MyBookie Odds for the Tournaments

Previous Betting News | MyBookie News Archive

ATP 500 Predictions: Abierto Mexicano

Previous Betting News

There are two ATP tour 500-level tournaments this week on hard courts, one in Dubai and one in Mexico. Most of the European-based players like Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Andy Murray, and Alexander Zverev are in Dubai. Meanwhile, the Abierto Mexicano draw includes top 20 players, including Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud.

This is the last week with multiple tournaments for a while as the players will all come together for the ATP 1000 Masters Series events at Indian Wells and Miami in March. Let’s take a look at the MyBookie odds for the ATP 500 Abierto Mexicano in Acapulco.

Tennis Predictions: ATP 500 Abierto Mexicano

The Favorites

Alcaraz is the top seed and the favorite to win the event. While his titles this year have come on clay, he has had success on hard courts as well, winning the U.S. Open in September. Since returning from injury, Alcaraz has made the finals in every event he’s entered, losing in three sets to Cameron Norrie on Sunday in Buenos Aires.

Norwegian Casper Ruud is the No. 2 seed and ranked No. 4 in the world. However, he hasn’t played since losing to American Jenson Brooksby in the second round of the Australian Open. With more than a month off, Ruud returns to action against a qualifier in the first round.

Taylor Fritz is the No. 3 seed, and he made the final at this event in 2020, losing to now-injured Rafael Nadal. Fritz won the Delray Beach Open in February but has a tough draw with John Isner in the first round. Isner is a big underdog at +224, but his big serve can make any match difficult.

Rune is the No. 4 seed, but he has a tough first-round match against American youngster Ben Shelton. Rune is favored in the first round at -258, while Shelton is +272 after making a deep run at the Australian Open. Rune is ranked No. 10 in the world and had to retire down 6-4, 4-0 in the round of 16 at the Rotterdam Open two weeks ago.

Next up for Norrie

Norrie heads into Acapulco as the No. 5 seed after winning the title on clay last week in Rio. He’s made the finals in two straight tournaments, splitting with Alcaraz, and the Brit opens with Adrian Mannarino. Norrie made the final at the Mexican Open last year before losing to Nadal.

.Take Tiafoe

This event could be a nice launching pad for Francis Tiafoe as he looks to make noise at Indian Wells and Miami. Tiafoe is -182 in his first-round matchup against Yoshihito Nishioka, who is +152. Tiafoe hasn’t played the last two weeks after losing in the quarterfinals of the Dallas Open to J.J. Wolf in three sets.

These two have met twice, with Tiafoe winning in straight sets in the most recent matchup on hard courts in Toronto. The American is ranked 15th in the world and has an 8-2 record so far in 2023. Seeded 6th in Mexico, Tiafoe could be on a collision course with Fritz in the quarterfinals.

ATP 2022 Mexican Open Betting Favorites and Analysis

Previous Betting News

The ATP Tour will be in action again this week in Acapulco. Daniil Medvedev is the top seed at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC in Acapulco. The defending champion, Alexander Zverev, is back in the field and will be looking to gain a repeat title. 

Rafael Nadal is also making an appearance in this event. He has won the title here three times prior and has a very good chance of capturing a fourth title this year. Below, I take a look at five things to watch out for during the upcoming ATP 500 event so you can bet against the ATP Odds.

2022 Mexican Open Presented by HSBC Expert Analysis | Tennis Betting

Defending Champion Alexander Zverev Looks to Repeat

After winning in Mexico last year, Zverev has good memories of Acapulco. The German reached the final in Montpellier earlier this month when he did not drop a set on his way to the triumph. In a potential first-round encounter, World No. 3 will meet American Jenson Brooksby. 

Last year at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Zverev defeated the American in three sets. This will be their second meeting on the ATP Head2Head circuit.

Daniil Medvedev Leads The Field

At the Australian Open in January, Medvedev came within one set of winning his second Grand Slam championship but was defeated in a five-set thriller by Rafael Nadal. The Russian returns to the court for the first time since his debut at the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC. The World No. 2 will face Benoit Paire in the first round. 

It’s a crucial week for Medvedev, who is in charge of his fate in the battle with Djokovic for the No. 1 ATP Ranking. By ascending to the top rank on February 28th, if the Russian raises the trophy in Acapulco, he will become the third Russian to complete the feat. 

Matteo Berrettini and Stefanos Tsitsipas Aim To Go Deep

In Mexico, both Berrettini and Tsitsipas will be aiming for their first championship of the season. Berrettini is making his debut and will face Tommy Paul in the first round, while Tsitsipas will be looking to improve on last year’s final loss. In the opening round, the Greek will play Laslo Djere, who advanced to the title match in Rotterdam earlier this month.

They are Playing in a New Arena

This year’s action in Acapulco will take place at the Arena GNP Seguros, a brand-new venue with six courts and over 10,000 seats. The tournament venue has grown by eight hectares in the last two years as a result of the building. This will be sure to have some players playing better or worse than before.

Rafael Nadal Is Back

At the Australian Open in January, Rafael Nadal showed everyone what he’s capable of when he won a record-breaking 21st Grand Slam victory in Melbourne. After a well-deserved sabbatical, the Spaniard is back in action in a tournament which he has previously won, including in Acapulco in 2005, 2013, and 2020. In his first round, the 35-year-old goes against fortunate loser Denis Kudla, who has a 20-2 record in Acapulco. 



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