MAR 01 - MMA Top Expert Picks For UFC 209

MMA Top Expert Picks For UFC 209

Written by on March 1, 2017

With the UFC back in action with this weekend’s UFC 209 Woodley vs. Thompson 2 card, it’s time to offer up a trio of expert picks on the top three fights on the intriguing fight card.

With that sad and fight night quickly approaching, let’s get started with the updated MMA betting odds here.

Analyzing The MMA Top Expert Picks For UFC 209

Tyron Woodley (16-3-1) vs. Stephen Thompson (13-1-1)

Analysis: Tyrone Woodley used a smart game plan the first time he faced Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson and exposed Thompson’s lack of offense early on. Woodley also nearly finished the bout with a powerful strike that knocked Thompson back against the cage and on the ground where he nearly finished off Thompson with a guillotine choke hold.

I’m going on record to say that if Tyrone Woodley can get Stephen Thompson to the ground, which I believe he will, then it’s going to be lights out this time around. However, if Thompson can keep this fight upright, he could expose Woodley with his superior kick-boxing skills.

I believe that Woodley is going to see where he failed to finish off Thompson in their last fight and that he’ll make a few changes to make sure he finishes this time around. Tyrone Woodley is the bigger, much stronger fighter in this matchup and the only one with one-strike knockout power. Stephen Thompson won’t go down easily, but he will go down, in a third round KO.

Pick: Tyrone Woodley via Third Round KO

Khabib Nurmagomedov (24-0) vs. Tony Ferguson (23-3)

Analysis: While I really like Tony Ferguson and believe he’s going to give Khabib Nurmagomedov a really tough way to go in this bout, in the end just can’t go against the undefeated title hopeful. I know Ferguson represents arguably the stiffest test of his UFC career, but Nurmagomedov has been able to figure out each of his eight UFC opponents and I believe he will figure out Ferguson as well.

While Ferguson is undeniably one of the greatest wrestlers on the face of the planet, Nurmagomedov is the more versatile fighter with more tricks in his bag. I like Khabib Nurmagomedov to get the third round submission win

Pick: Khabib Nurmagomedov via third round submission

Rashad Evans (24-5-1) vs. Daniel Kelly (12-1)

I’m a huge Rashad Evans fan, but the fact of the matter is that he’s receding faster than LeBron James’ hairline. Oops, my fault, James has his hairline magically back this season, but Evans is still fading like a pair of well-worn blue jeans. I know Dan Kelly isn’t exactly a spring chicken, but he’s been the more consistent fighter in recent times and has the big edge in grappling. Kelly wins via third round KO. Pic

k: Daniel Kelly via Third Round KO