UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts

mybookie App Download App

Download Remind me later

On Saturday, UFC returns to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas where Alex Grasso and Valentina Schevchenko headline an excellent main card.

Before Grasso and Schevchenko step into the Octagon for a huge rematch, Kevin Holland battles Jack Maddalena. Also on the main card is a great fight between Raul Rosas Jr. and Terrence Mitchell.

Check out UFC betting lines, analysis, and free picks for the September 16 UFC Fight Night main event card. 

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts | MyBookie MMA Betting Preview

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 | UFC Fight Night 227 – UFC on ESPN+ 85 – Noche UFC
Saturday, September 16 at 10:00 pm ET | ESPN+
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada 

Fernando Padilla vs Kyle Nelson

UFC Odds: Fernando Padilla -263; Kyle Nelson +196
Featherweight Bout
Padilla records: 14-5 | 5 KOs
Nelson records: 15-4

Kick boxer Kyle Nelson’s form appears to have turned the corner. The underdog in this match drew against Dooho Choi in a February match this year. Then in his next, an undercard bout at UFC 289 in June, Nelson beat Blake Bilder via unanimous decision.

But although Nelson’s form is on the improve, beating Fernando Padilla is going to be a challenge. Padilla is on a 3-match winning streak. The chalk is also 5-0 via TKO/KO and 8-0 via submissions. Going against the favorite is too difficult a task.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Fernando Padilla | Bet Fernando Padilla vs Kyle Nelson Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Daniel Zellhuber vs Christos Giagos

UFC Odds: Daniel Zellhuber -243 vs Christos Giagos +186
Lightweight Bout
Zellhuber records: 13-1 | 7 KOs
Giagos records: 20-10 | 8 KOs

Underdog Christos Giagos must overcome a couple of huge physical disadvantages. Giagos is 3 inches shorter and has a 5.5 inches reach deficit. Giagos did win his last, a first round stoppage victory over Ricky Glen.

Daniel Zellhuber bounced back from a September 2022 loss to Trey Ogden with a unanimous decision over Lando Vannata in April this year. Zellhuber is 7-0 via TKO/KO and 2-0 via submissions. Here’s another where going against the chalk is tough.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Daniel Zellhuber | Bet Daniel Zellhuber vs Christos Giagos Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Terrence Mitchell

UFC Odds: Raul Rosas Jr. -833; Terrence Mitchell +492
Bantamweight Bout
Rosas records: 7-1
Mitchell records: 14-3

Up until his last, the favorite in this had been undefeated, winning his fist 7 mixed martial arts bouts. But in the last, Christian Rodriguez beat Rosas Jr. via unanimous decision.

Terrence Mitchell isn’t on Rodriguez’s level. But Mitchell is taller and has a 7 inches reach advantage. Terrence lost via first round TKO/KO against Cameron Saimaan in his first UFC bout.

The odds are correct in suggesting Rosas Jr. wins no problem. But Mitchell knows this is his last chance to continue to fight at the best MMA promotion in the world. Taking a swing on Mitchell to pull off the massive upset is the play.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Terrence Mitchell | Bet Raul Rosas Jr. vs Terrence Mitchell Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Kevin Holland vs Jack Della Maddalena

UFC Odds: Kevin Holland +120; Jack Della Maddalena -153
Welterweight Bout
Holland records: 25-9 | 14 KOs
Maddalena records: 15-2 | 11 KOs

Holland is 4 inches taller and has an 8-inch reach advantage. Also, Kevin has won his last couple of bouts.

Jack Della Maddalena hasn’t lost since 2016, though, which explains why he’s the chalk. Maddalena is 11-1 via TKO/KO and 2-1 via submissions. This bout projects as a straight up brawl, but if Holland can get it to the mat, he’ll have an advantage. Back the dog to cash.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Kevin Holland | Bet Kevin Holland vs Jack Della Maddalena Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Schevchenko

UFC Odds: Alexa Grasso +137; Valentina Schevchenko -175
Women’s Flyweight Title Belt
Grasso records: 16-3 | 4 KOs
Schevchenko records: 8-4 | 7 KOs

Grasso beat Schevchenko via submission in the first bout. Most expect Valentina to turn the tables, but Alex will be motivated.

Grasso’s victory was her fifth straight. The thing about Alex is that she’s patient. She knows where her advantage lies, getting the fight to the mat. Grasso has won 2 of her last 3 bouts via submission.

So the fact Alex is 2-1 via submission victories is a sign she’s changed her style. Grasso won’t put herself into harms enough way to suffer a TKO/KO loss. The champ retains her belt.

UFC Fight Night Pick: Alex Grasso | Bet Alexa Grasso vs Valentina Schevchenko Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout

UFC Fight Night Fight Card Schedule | MMA

I have read enough, I need to place my bet now. What to do?

Bet UFC Lines
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bouts

UFC Betting Center

---

Updated UFC Betting Odds | Betting Odds