Rafael Dos Anjos is the slight favorite over rival Vicente Luque in the main event at this Saturday night’s UFC Fight Night. Before Dos Anjos and Luque throw down, Cub Swanson takes on Hakeem Dawodu.
Which UFC fighters lift their arms in victory and which bow their heads in defeat?
Keep reading for UFC betting lines, analysis, and free picks for main card bouts at this Saturday’s UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos in Nashville.
UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos Betting Analysis for the Main Card Bouts | MyBookie MMA Betting Preview
UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos | UFC Vegas 78 | UFC on ESPN 51
Saturday, August 12th at 4:00 pm ET
Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee
ESPN / ESPN+
UFC Fight Nigh: Luque vs Dos Anjos – Main Card
Josh Fremd vs Jamie Pickett
UFC Odds: Josh Fremd -350 vs Jamie Pickett +275
Middleweight
The underdog in this isn’t fighting well. Pickett is in the worst form of his career after dropping his last three matches. Not only that, but Jamie is 0-4 via submission victories.
Josh Fremd broke a 2-match losing streak with a nice submission win against Sedriques Dumas in his last. Fremd has momentum. The chalk gets the nod.
UFC on ESPN Pick: Josh Fremd | Bet Josh Fremd vs Jamie Pickett Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout
AJ Dobson vs Tafon Nchukwi
UFC Odds: AJ Dobson +125 vs Tafon Nchukwi -150
Middleweight
Nchukwi is the favorite even though he hasn’t shown his best. Tafon has won a single match in his last 4. Nchukwi is also on a 2-match losing streak.
Dobson has lost 2 straight as well. But both losses were at a higher UFC level, UFC 271 and UFC 280. Nchukwi’s losses came on UFC Fight Night cards. The dog is the play.
UFC on ESPN Pick: AJ Dobson | Bet AJ Dobson vs Tafon Nchukwi Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout
Polyana Viana vs Iasmin Lucindo
UFC Odds: Polyana Viana +160 vs Iasmin Lucindo -190
Women’s Strawweight
Viana heads into this with a 2 inches height and a 1 inch reach advantage. The underdog is also in good form after winning 3 of her last 4 bouts.
-190 favorite Iasmin Lucindo has won 4-of-5. 2 wins came via stoppage and the other 2 happened via unanimous decision. Lucindo should be the favorite considering her competition. But the odds make Viana the bet.
UFC on ESPN Pick: Polyana Viana | Bet Polyana Viana vs Iasmin Lucindo Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout
Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Chris Daukaus
UFC Odds: Khalil Rountree Jr. -190 vs Chris Daukaus +160
Light Heavyweight
Favorite Khalil Rountree Jr. is on a 3-match winning streak. Rountree beat Modestas Bukauskus, Karl Roberson, and Dustin Jacoby in his last three.
Underdog Chris Daukaus is on a 3-match losing streak. Daukaus has fought the tougher competition, but Rountree Jr. is fighting too well to lose.
UFC on ESPN Pick: Khalil Rountree Jr. | Bet Khalil Rountree Jr. vs Chris Daukaus Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout
Cub Swanson vs Hakeem Dawodu
UFC Odds: Cub Swanson +190 vs Hakeem Dawodu -230
Featherweight
Swanson is one of the more popular fighters at UFC, but Cub hasn’t fought great in 2 of his last 3. In the last, Swanson fell to Jonathan Martinez via a second round knockout.
Hakeem Dawodu has also lost 2 of his last 3. Both Dawodu’s losses came via unanimous decision. Also, Dawodu, a striker, has a 3 ½ inches reach advantage. Dawodu keeps Swanson at the end of his punches and ends Cub’s night early.
UFC Fight Night Pick: Hakeem Dawodu
UFC on ESPN Pick: Hakeem Dawodu | Bet Cub Swanson vs. Hakeem Dawodu Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout
Vicente Luque vs Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC Odds: Vicente Luque +105 vs Rafael Dos Anjos -125
Welterweight
The odds couldn’t be much closer. What’s interesting is that Dos Anjos will enter the Octagon the favorite.
Luque has big time physical advantages. The underdog in this is 3 inches taller. Luque also has a 5 ½ inches reach advantage. Dos Anjos is 11-1 via submissions, though.
So the thinking must be that if Rafael can get the fight to the mat, he’ll force a tap out or rack up points. Also, Luque heads into this off a pair of losses. Back Dos Anjos to cash.
UFC on ESPN Pick: Rafael Dos Anjos | Bet Vicente Luque vs. Rafael Dos Anjos Today
MyBookie Betting Lines for the Bout
UFC on ESPN Fight Card | MMA
| Main Card (ESPN+) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Welterweight | Vicente Luque | vs. | Rafael dos Anjos |
| Featherweight | Cub Swanson | vs. | Hakeem Dawodu |
| Light Heavyweight | Khalil Rountree Jr. | vs. | Chris Daukaus |
| Women’s Strawweight | Polyana Viana | vs. | Iasmin Lucindo |
| Middleweight | A.J. Dobson | vs. | Tafon Nchukwi |
| Middleweight | Josh Fremd | vs. | Jamie Pickett |
| Preliminary Card (ESPN / ESPN+) | |||
| Bantamweight | JP Buys | vs. | Marcus McGhee |
| Lightweight | Terrance McKinney | vs. | Mike Breeden |
| Featherweight | Francis Marshall | vs. | Isaac Dulgarian |
| Heavyweight | Josh Parisian | vs. | Martin Buday |
| Women’s Strawweight | Jaqueline Amorim | vs. | Montserrat Ruiz |
| Bantamweight | Da’Mon Blackshear | vs. | Jose Johnson |
| Women’s Flyweight | Juliana Miller | vs. | Luana Santos |
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