Boise State at Troy 2018 NCAA Football Week 1 Odds

Boise State at Troy 2018 NCAA Football Week 1 Odds

Written by on August 23, 2018

To kick-off the 2018-2019 College Football Season, Boise State battles Troy. Troy won 10 games last season.  Boise State went 11-3 SU and 8-1 SU in their conference. Will Boise State show they’re worth a College Football Playoff look in Week 1? They are odds favorites for NCAA Football Week 1.

Boise State at Troy 2018 NCAA Football Week 1 Odds

When: Saturday, Sep. 1 at 6:00 pm ET Where: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL TV: ESPN News Radio: TuneIn Live Stream: WatchESPN ATS Odds: Boise State -10 ½ (-110) Over/Under Total Odds: 50 ½ (-110)

Why Boise State is a good bet at -10 ½?

Boise State beat Troy by 11 points last season, 24-13. They lost a couple of key players along the offensive line, but the best quarterback in their history, Brett Rypien, returns. Rypien leads all FBS starting quarterbacks in yards thrown, 9,876. He’s got a ton of skill players around him. The defense returns 9 starters. The unit allowed 22.9 points per game. That per game average should fall below 20 and could fall below 16 this season.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 32.50
  • Total Yards: 406.07
  • Pass Yards: 262.64
  • Rush Yards: 143.43
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 22.86
  • Total Yards: 332.64
  • Pass Yards: 212.43
  • Rush Yards: 120.21

Why Troy is a good bet at +10 ½?

Are the Trojans a safe bet for Week 1? Troy returns 4 players along the offensive line. That should help new Troy starting quarterback, Kaleb Barker or Sawyer Smith, get a groove. Troy’s defense lost some players as well, but the Trojans recruited depth. Coach Neal Brown turned down job offers to stay with the program. The Troy Trojans should win the Sun Belt Conference this season. They can keep this game closer than the 10 ½ points spread.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 31.54
  • Total Yards: 417.31
  • Pass Yards: 269.62
  • Rush Yards: 147.69
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 18.46
  • Total Yards: 336.62
  • Pass Yards: 231.31
  • Rush Yards: 105.31

NCAA Football Betting Trends for Boise State at Troy

  • Boise State is 140-102 ATS in all games since 1992
  • Boise State is 1-0 SU vs Troy over the last 3 seasons
  • Troy is 0-0 ATS vs Boise State over the last 3 seasons
  • 1 of 1 games in this series have gone under the total over the last 3 seasons

Boise State at Troy Final Analysis: Boise State begins and undefeated season with a win and cover over Troy

Boise State’s defense should be one of the top units in college football. The Broncos went through a defensive transition last season because their players were young. They’re not young anymore. They’re experienced and ready to rumble. Boise State’s offense should approach 40 points per game. Too many times in 2017, the Broncos offense lacked consistency. For every 40 points game, the Broncos played a less than 20 points game. This season, the offense should start by scoring over 35 points against Troy. If Boise State can get the rushing attack going early, quarterback Rypien will do his thing. Troy will score some points, but it won’t be nearly enough. Boise State should beat Troy by 14 to 17 points. If Troy’s defense hasn’t gelled over the summer, the Broncos can blowout the Trojans by 20 points or more. NCAA Football Week 1 Pick: Boise State -10 ½