Chiefs vs Rams Odds, Pick & Prediction - NFL Week 11 Lines

Chiefs vs Rams Odds, Pick & Prediction – NFL Week 11 Lines

Written by on November 18, 2022

In a crucial AFC West battle with playoff implications, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) travel to face Justin Herbert’s Los Angeles Chargers (5-4).

The Chargers are attempting to gain distance in the AFC West after dropping their most recent game to San Francisco, while the Chiefs have won three straight games.

The Chiefs defeated the Chargers at home in Week 2 and now aim to repeat the feat away from home. Will Herbert be able to strike revenge on his divisional foe with a hurt Chargers offense? Let’s take a closer look at both teams and how they arrive to this Chiefs vs Rams matchup so you can bet on their NFL Odds

NFL Week 11 Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs versus Cardinals Analysis

Chiefs Look to Push Winning Streak to Four 

The Kansas City Chiefs enter this contest on a three-game winning streak, and they hold a two-game lead over the Chargers for the division lead. The Chiefs have been arguably the AFC favorite, as the Kansas City offense has been one of the best in the league.

The Chiefs’ offense has easily been a top-five unit in the league as the rank number one in scoring offense (30 ppg) while also compiling the second most yards per contest (423.1).

The offense is led by MVP candidate Patrick Mahomes as the QB ranks first in passing yards (2,936) as well as touchdown passes (25). They will be tested with playmaking wide receivers Mecole Hardman on IR and Juju Smith-Schuster out with a concussion.

The defense, on the other hand, has been a bigger question as they come in ranked 25th against the pass and 19th in points per game (22.9). In their victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars, the Chiefs’ defense registered five sacks and surrendered 17 points. The unit arguably had its best performance of the season, and they have been fairly reliable up to this point.

Chargers Hope to Gain Ground in the AFC West

The Chargers enter this matchup looking to bounce back from a loss to the 49ers. The Chargers’ offense mustered just one touchdown, while the ground game was stuffed for just 51 yards. The offense as a whole must do better, as they were held to just 238 total yards.

The offense is one of the scariest in the league when they are fully healthy. Unfortunately, the entire team has dealt with injuries, including Justin Herbert (rib) and star wideouts Keenen Allen and Mike Williams. The unit is averaging 22.2 points per game and 350.2 yards per game. 

The Chargers‘ defense failed to stop the 49ers as they fell 22-16 on Sunday Night Football, allowing 22 points while earning just one sack and recovering a fumble.

The defense played well early on and held on to prevent a touchdown until the last minutes of the first half. Overall, they will have to step it up against the Chiefs, as Los Angeles is surrendering the fourth-most points to opponents per game (25.3). 

Betting Lines & Odds 

The Chiefs are the away favorites, according to the oddsmakers, and the spread for this game is set at 5.5 points (-110).

In terms of the moneyline, the Chargers are classified as home underdogs at +200, while the Chiefs are given odds of -240 to win on the road. The game’s over/under is set at 50 points (-110).

Betting Pick

The Chargers are getting healthier, and they play the Chiefs tough every year. In addition, the Chargers have covered the spread in their last two contests, while the Chiefs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five contests.

These offenses can surely go toe to toe, so this one will come down to the defense. The Chargers are conceding almost 26 points per game, while the Chiefs are surrendering a little over 22 points per contest.

Four of the last five matchups between these two teams have been one-possession games. With that said, I like the Chargers to keep this one close and possibly win this one outright.

Prediction: Chargers +4.5 (-110)

 
 

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