Florida vs Kentucky 2019 College Football Week 3 Lines, Betting Analysis & Prediction

Florida vs Kentucky 2019 College Football Week 3 Lines, Betting Analysis & Prediction

Written by on September 11, 2019

The Florida Gators and the Kentucky Wildcats will both be looking to stay unbeaten when they square off in their intriguing Week 3 SEC showdown on Saturday. With both teams looking to keep their conference title hopes alive, let’s find out is the Wildcats are the pick to take care of business at home or whether the Gators can get the win and ATS cover as a near, double-digit road favorite.

Florida vs Kentucky 2019 College Football Week 3 Lines, Betting Analysis & Prediction

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 31°C/88°F
  • Humidity: 53%
  • Precipitation: 20%
  • Wind: 5 mph N
  • Cloud Cover: 48%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On Florida at -8?

The Gators look like a good bet because they’ve got the far better defense, the overall edge in roster talent and the fact that they’re looking for revenge after falling to Kentucky 27-16 at home last season. Florida moved to 2-0 on the season by smacking overmatched Tennessee-Martin around in their emphatic 45-0 Week 2 win as quarterback Feleipe Franks completed 25 of 27 passes for 270 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions and the Gators rushed for 231 yards and three touchdowns.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 24
  • Total Yards: 306
  • Pass Yards: 254
  • Rush Yards: 52
  • Average Score Against: 20
  • Total Yards: 308
  • Pass Yards: 214
  • Rush Yards: 94

Why Bet On Kentucky at +8?

The Wildcats look like a solid wager in this one because they’ve put an identical 38 points on the board in each of their two games so far this season, including their 38-17 win over Eastern Michigan last weekend. Quarterback Terry Wilson completed just 14 of 26 passes for 114 yards, but he added 43 rushing yards and one touchdown on eight carries and the Cats rushed for 239 yards and three scores overall.

Team Statistics

  • Average Score For: 38
  • Total Yards: 422
  • Pass Yards: 246
  • Rush Yards: 176
  • Average Score Against: 24
  • Total Yards: 347
  • Pass Yards: 166
  • Rush Yards: 181

Florida vs Kentucky College Football Week 3 Betting Trends

  • Florida is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games on the road
  • Florida is 6-0 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went OVER in 7 of Florida’s last 10 games
  • Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Kentucky is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went OVER in 5 of Kentucky’s last 5 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Florida vs kentucky

Florida might be favored in this contest, but I like Kentucky to cover the chalk as an 8-point home dog simply because of the fact that three of the last five meetings between these SEC rivals has been decided by six points or less, not including Kentucky’s upset win a year ago.

While the Gators have looked fine through two games, they’ve also got a quarterback in Feleipe Franks that can be wildly inconsistent and will now be facing a Kentucky team that has a boatload of talent on the defensive side of the ball. While Florida has gone a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, Kentucky has gone 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games. While approximately 58 percent of public bettors like the Gators to win and cash in, again, I’m going with Kentucky to keep the final score inside of a touchdown, even if I don’t see them getting their second straight upset win over the Gators.

Pick: Florida 27 Kentucky 23