Michigan vs Rutgers NCAA Football Week 11 Lines & Prediction

Written by on November 8, 2018

We are at the point of the season in college football where a single mistake can be the difference between making the playoffs and being left out in the cold. There is perhaps nothing worse than seeing a team stay in the running all the way through the season, only to fall at one of the last hurdles in the playoff race. The top 4 teams in the national rankings are undisputed right now, but they all know that a loss between now and the end of the season could, and likely would, bring their playoff hopes crashing down.

The Michigan Wolverines are in right now, sitting at the #4 spot, and they have what looks to be a very manageable game on the road to Rutgers this weekend. They still have a big one to come, with Ohio State still on the horizon, but they cannot afford to look ahead, as their focus needs to be here. Michigan is in as a 38.5-point favorite, with the point total set at 48 ½.

Michigan vs Rutgers NCAA Football Week 11 Lines & Prediction

  • When: Saturday, November 10 at 3:30 PM EST
  • Where: Highpoint.com Stadium, Piscataway
  • TV: BTN
  • Radio: TuneIn
  • Live Stream: BTN2GO
  • NCAA Football Week 11 Lines: Michigan -38.5 (Total 48)

Louisville vs Syracuse NCAA Football Week 11 Odds & Game Preview

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 6°C/43°F
  • Humidity: 40%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 7%
  • Wind: 16 mph W
  • Stadium Type: Open

Why bet on the Michigan Wolverines?

If we are all being honest, the vast majority of us probably had the Wolverines written off after their opening week loss to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Offensively, Michigan looked totally anemic, and we all knew that they would need to be perfect the rest of the way just to have a shot at a Big Ten crown, never mind the playoffs.

The Wolverines have been perfect since then, though, reeling off 8-straight wins and playing some of the best defensive football in the country. While the D has been getting a lot of the love, let’s not forget that the offense is now averaging over 36 PPG, with that number set to rise again a little this weekend. This is a big number to cover, but Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games, although just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on the road.

Why bet on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights?

Given the nature of the Wolverines defense, you really do have to wonder how Rutgers is going to be able to get anything on the board. The Scarlet Knights offense has huffed and puffed all season long and has achieved very little, averaging just 15 PPG. On the defensive side of the football, they have been getting absolutely killed on the ground, giving up 233 YPG to their opponents.

Michigan vs Rutgers should be a blowout.

With Michigan putting up over 217 YPG on the ground this season, it’s pretty obvious to see where the point of attack might be for the Wolverines. Rutgers is just 1-8 SU this season, but they have managed to cover the spread in each of their last 2 games, both of which they started as rather hefty underdogs. In 4 previous meetings with Michigan, Rutgers has gone just 1-3 ATS.

Ohio State at Michigan State NCAA Football Week 11 Odds & Preview

Michigan vs Rutgers NCAA Football Week 11 Betting Trends

  • Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan’s last 6 games on the road
  • Rutgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers’s last 5 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Michigan vs Rutgers

When you look at the spread and the point total, you clearly see that the bookies don’t believe that Rutgers have much of a shot at getting points on the board. This all comes down to whether Michigan choose to run up the score, which may be determined by how long the starters stay in.

Score: Michigan Wolverines 45 – Rutgers Scarlet Knights 0